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Study: Enhanced Unemployment Benefits Enhanced Unemployment
Incentives matter. All of the political grandstanding, media spin and wishful thinking won’t change this basic economic principle. Both Janet Yellen and Joe Biden insisted “enhanced” unemployment benefits weren’t incentivizing people not to work. But as we recently reported, analysis of continuing unemployment claims after a number of red states cut enhanced benefits undermined this […]

If the Fed Can’t Hit Its Inflation Target, Why Not Just Move the Goalposts?
The Fed has an inflation problem. The CPI is running well above the mythical 2% target and there isn’t any sign that it will ease soon. To deal with this problem, the central bank should tighten its monetary policy. But that would create a whole new problem, given that it can’t tighten in this economic […]

Silver-Gold Ratio Opening Up Again
The silver-gold ratio has ballooned again, indicating that silver is once again a bargain buy. During a gold bull market, silver typically outperforms gold. We saw this during the big runup in the price of both metals through the early months of the pandemic. In the third quarter of last year, silver charted its best […]

“Transitory” Inflation Strikes Again: FedEx Announces Big Rate Hikes
In yet another sign “transitory” inflation might not be so transitory, FedEx has announced plans to significantly hike shipping rates in 2022. FedEx said it will raise rates for US domestic, export and import services by 5.9%, on average next year. Some freight rates will rise as much as 7.9%. The company also plans to […]

Chinese Gold Market Continues Post-Pandemic Recovery
The Chinese gold market continues to show signs of recovery after it was hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic. Chinese gold demand rebounded sharply in the first half of 2021 after plummeting in 2020, and imports remained strong in July, above 2019 levels, according to the latest data from the World Gold Council. China ranks as […]

Fun on Friday: The Government Can’t Even Get Constitution Day Right
Today is Constitution Day. We’re supposed to be celebrating the day the Constitution was signed and presented to the states for ratification. But it’s pretty hard to celebrate because the Constitution is dead.

CPI Housing Cost Calculation Hides True Extent of Inflation
The government CPI data for August came in slightly under expectations. Nevertheless, a 0.3% month-on-month increase in prices is significant. And a dig into the numbers reveals something wonky. The way the government calculates housing costs drastically understates rising prices and skews overall CPI to the downside.

Gold’s Growing Role in Healthcare
A couple of years ago, CNBC commentator Jim Leventhal made a pretty astounding comment. When asked about gold, Leventhal said he had no interest in it because gold has no uses as a metal. Of course, this is nonsense. Gold has a wide range of uses in sectors ranging from jewelry to high-tech electronics. And […]

Federal Budget Deficit Continues Its Relentless Upward Spiral
The US government ran a $170.64 billion budget deficit in August, pushing the total fiscal 2021 budget shortfall to $2.71 trillion with one month to go, according to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement. The mainstream media spun this as good news, noting that the August deficit was 15% lower than the $200 billion spending gap […]

Incentives Matter: Unemployment Edition
Both Janet Yellen and Joe Biden insisted “enhanced” unemployment benefits weren’t incentivizing people not to work. The numbers prove them wrong.