Peter's Blog

US Money Supply Growth Set Another Record in February

US money supply growth hit another all-time high in February as the Federal Reserve continues to churn out dollars and inject them into the economy. As measured by the True Money Supply Measure (TMS), the money supply grew by 39.1% year-on-year. That was up slightly from January’s record growth of 38.7%.

Is Basic Economics Wrong? Or Is Something Else Going on With Inflation?

We have been saying that given the extraordinary level of money printing the Fed has done since the beginning of the pandemic, a wave of price inflation is coming down the pike – perhaps even hyperinflation. But many will be quick to remind us that we raised the warning flag about inflation when the Fed […]

Russian National Wealth Fund Turning to Gold, Dumping Dollars

The Russian Finance Ministry has given the green light for the Russian National Wealth fund to diversify and invest in gold and other precious metals. According to a report by RT, this is part of a broader move to de-dollarize the wealth fund.

Indian Gold Market Continues to Bounce Back

The bounceback in the Indian gold market continued last month. Indian gold imports hit a 21-month high in February and there was robust retail demand. This comes on the heels of a 72% year-on-year increase in gold imports in January.

Subprime Mortgage Delinquency Still at Record Levels

Despite the “improving economy,” subprime mortgage delinquencies remain at record high levels. And the full extent of the problem is masked by forbearance programs. The delinquency rate on FHA mortgages spiked to 17.5% in February. That was up from 17.0% in January and equals the all-time record set in September and November of 2020, according […]

You Can’t Blame Big Government Spending All on the Pandemic

Congress recently passed coronavirus stimulus 3.0, adding another $1.9 trillion in federal spending to the already massive fiscal 2021 budget deficit. That brings total spending related to COVID-19 to somewhere in the neighborhood of $5 trillion. Meanwhile, the national debt has skyrocketed past $28 trillion. The US government has added $5 trillion to the debt […]

Poland Wants More Gold

Poland’s gold-buying spree isn’t over. In 2018, the National Bank of Poland began aggressively adding gold to its reserves. Through the first half of 2019, the Polish central bank added more than 100 tons of gold, nearly doubling its reserves.

Fiscal 2021 Budget Deficit Already Over $1 Trillion

Just five months into fiscal 2021, the US government has already run a budget deficit of over $1 trillion. In a year of massive deficits, the US federal government charted its biggest monthly shortfall of fiscal year 2021 in February. According to the Monthly Treasury Statement, the February deficit came in at $310.92 billion, pushing […]

What Is CPI Really Telling Us?

The Labor Department released February’s CPI numbers on Wednesday. The mainstream spin was “no inflation, nothing to see here.” But what will we find if we dig a little deeper into the numbers? CPI was up 0.4% in February. That follows on the heels of a 0.3% rise in January. The rise was in line […]

Government Stimulus Is Blowing Up a Massive Economic Bubble

We’re told we’re on the road to economic recovery. The $1.9 trillion stimulus is all we need to get us over the hump. But the truth is, Americans started spending like they were over the hump months ago. In fact, American consumers high on stimulus have been on a spending spree since last summer. The […]