Peter's Blog

Services as a Service Cut Through Bloat

The model of software-as-a-service is dead. Already successful businesses have been able to hold onto some of their past glory, but new SaaS businesses have it much more difficult than they did even five years ago. Businesses are tired of paying for tools that have potential to make them more efficient. People are ready to […]

AI Will Destroy Jobs? Good

The AI bubble has become a frequent fixture in the financial news cycle as pundits and institutions express their fear that, when it pops, it could drag the global economy into crisis. Central bankers and institutions like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) are sounding alarms about debt-fueled AI investments, overexuberance, fragile funding structures, and […]

Profits are Just Good

Nearly all read distributive forms of government try to find some way to give moral justification for their poor economic choices. They assume that it will be easier for people to accept wealth redistribution if they can somehow prove that the wealthy are morally inferior. While like any group of people the wealthy have their […]

Self Deception Is the Hottest Commodity

People love to lie to themselves, particularly about themselves. This has been true throughout all of history, and it is now revealing itself to be even more true because of incredible material abundance and new technologies. Artificial intelligence is explicitly sycophantic, but there has always been a large market for things that can increase the […]

Fed’s Williams Talks Tough on Inflation as Gold Tops $4,000

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams didn’t show up to Tuesday’s Crane’s Money Fund Symposium in person, but his prepared remarks got out anyway. Gold didn’t care either way. Williams described the U.S. economy as “resilient amid the uncertainty” from the Middle East conflict, pointing to steady consumer spending and “robust” artificial-intelligence investment. In […]

CFTC CoTs: Managed Money Gets Bullish on Gold

Please note: the CoTs report was published 06/26/2026 for the period ending 06/23/2026. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

The Fed Balance Sheet Increases by $31B in June

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Democracy Was Not Meant For Us

Democracy truly was not meant for us. Democracy was built for people that are so different from us that they would hardly recognize us or the form of government we have built on democratic principles. Democracy was meant to be governance of all by the free. In our society, except for circumstances of age or […]

Why Would a President Welcome Inflation?

Inflation benefits debtors at the expense of creditors, and there is no bigger debtor than the US government. By silently eroding the real value of its massive debt through currency debasement, inflation allows the government to avoid politically painful spending cuts or tax hikes. This explains why politicians like President Trump love inflation despite the […]

Americans Are Spending More, but Their Savings Are Quietly Disappearing

May’s economic data tells a story that sounds good on the surface but gets more complicated the closer you look. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report Friday showing personal income climbed 0.7 percent last month, adding $181.6 billion, with disposable income rising by that same margin. Americans didn’t sit on that extra […]