Peter's Blog

Treasury Fails to Capitalize on Record Tax Revenues

The Federal Government ran an $89B deficit in June. This was an increase MoM but below the June deficit last year of $174B.

Another Big Budget Deficit in June; This Is Supposed to Be Good News?

The federal government ran an $88.8 billion budget deficit in June. That was up nearly $22 billion from the previous month, according to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement. And this is supposed to be good news.

Another Hot CPI Read Backs the Fed Deeper into a Corner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other members of the central bank have continued to talk tough about fighting inflation. But I’m pretty certain that in private, they were desperately hoping to see some cooling in the inflation data so they could start backing out of the ring. With a recession pretty clearly on the horizon […]

June YoY CPI Was Horrific – The Next Three Months Could Be Worse

The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for June came in at a blistering 1.35% MoM and 9.11% YoY, beating expectations of 1.1% and 8.8% respectively. All prices rose in May with 8 of 11 categories rising faster than the 12-month trend, representing 94.7% of the total CPI.

Slowdown in Money Creation Could Be Another Recession Signal

The slowdown in money creation could be signaling a recession. The growth in the money supply has dropped precipitously over the last several months. As measured by M2, the money supply expanded by 6.6% year on year. That was down from April’s growth rate of 8.21%. In  May 2021, M2 grew by 14.30%. M2 growth […]

Air Is Hissing Out of the Housing Bubble at an Accelerating Pace

Air is hissing out of the housing bubble faster and faster every week. Pending sales plunged in June and the inventory of homes on the market jumped as mortgage rates continue to rapidly rise.

Three Reasons We’re Having a Silver Sale

Silver has dipped below $20 an ounce for the first time in two years. But given silver’s fundamentals, the current economic dynamics, and the trajectory of the Fed, silver appears very oversold. For the next week, you can take advantage of the lowest silver spot price in years, and we’ll even sweeten the deal with […]

American Consumers Added to Record Debt Level in May

American consumers added to their record levels of debt in May as they continue to struggle to make ends meet in this inflationary environment. Americans increased their debt load by $22.35 billion in May, according to the latest data from the Federal Reserve. That represents a 5.9% annual increase.

Treasury Interest Cost Will Soar Past $500B in the Months Ahead

The US government increased its total debt by $69 billion in June. The average interest rate on all of that debt is also going up, a growing problem for the borrow and spend government. The Treasury Department continues to roll short-term Treasury Bills into longer-dated securities, allowing $148B in Bills to roll off the debt […]

Peter Schiff: This Won’t Be a Short Shallow Recession

The mainstream seems to have conceded that the economy is heading toward a recession. But most people aren’t too worried. They seem to think the downturn will turn out short and shallow. In his podcast, Peter explains why the recession will more likely be long and deep. Since people don’t understand the nature of the […]