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April 18, 2023 ・Original Analysis

The Tax Man Cometh — Again

Today is tax day. I’m not pleased. I don’t know about you, but that means my bank account balance will be significantly smaller later this evening. I’m going to have to write a big check. But hey, this is the price I pay for a more civilized society.

April 18, 2023 ・Interviews

Peter Schiff: We’d Be Lucky to Escape With Just a Recession

Peter Schiff recently appeared on Real America with Dan Ball to talk about the weakening US dollar, the less-than-stellar jobs report, and the trajectory of the economy. Peter kicked off the interview with a startling statement when Dan said whether it’s oil, de-dollarization, or President Biden’s horrible economic policies, everything is pointing toward a recession […]

April 17, 2023 ・Key Gold Headlines

Q1 Gold Demand in China Hit Highest Level Since 2019

After ending 2022 on an upward trend, China’s gold market continued to rebound during the first quarter of 2023. Wholesale gold demand in China during Q1 hit the highest first-quarter level since 2019. Meanwhile, gold imports charted the strongest start to a year since 2015.

April 17, 2023 ・Original Analysis

Joe Biden Is Mucking Up the “Inflation Fight”

By hiking interest rates, the Federal Reserve has pulled some of the monetary stimulus out of the economy. While the Fed hasn’t done nearly enough to put the inflationary fire it lit with more than a decade of easy money, the cooling consumer price index (CPI) indicates that this has put a modest dent in […]

April 14, 2023 ・Original Analysis

Is the Pivot in Play? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap April 14, 2023

With the CPI coming in slightly cooler than expected and producer prices unexpectedly falling, a lot of people think the Fed pivot is now in play and we will soon see an end to monetary tightening. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey talks about the possibility of a pivot, […]

April 13, 2023 ・Exploring Finance

TTM Net Interest Expense Exceeds Half a Trillion Dollars

The Federal Government ran a gargantuan deficit of -$378B in March. This is over $100B larger than the massive February deficit. In the last three years, only the deficit last September was larger because the government recognized the cost of Biden’s student loan forgiveness. September aside, this month was the largest deficit month since March 2021 […]

April 13, 2023 ・Exploring Finance

Getting CPI Back to 2% Is a Fantasy

The CPI rose in March by 0.06%, which was less than expected. That said, as the chart below shows, the fall in Energy prices was entirely responsible for containing an otherwise high CPI.

April 12, 2023 ・Guest Commentaries

The Deregulation Boogeyman

The ink wasn’t even dry on the newly printed money to bail out the banking system before people came out of the woodwork to blame the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank on “deregulation.” But is the deregulation boogeyman really to blame? In a word, no!

April 12, 2023 ・Original Analysis

The CPI Mirage

Price inflation continued to cool with March headline annual CPI coming in at 5%. This was lower than expected and may give the Federal Reserve some wiggle room to slow down or even end rate hikes. But it’s a mirage. Despite the cooling trend, price inflation remains well above the Fed’s target and victory in […]

April 12, 2023 ・Key Gold Headlines

Gold Was Up Over 9% in the First Quarter

Gold was up 9.2% to a quarterly average of $1,980 an ounce in the first quarter of 2023. This was just 1% off the record high charted in Q3 2020.