Peter's Blog

Comex Results: May is Quiet, but June Looks Strong in Both Metals

This analysis focuses on gold and silver physical delivery on the Comex. See the article What is the Comex for more detail. As reported last week, Comex May’s open interest activity was looking weak in silver while gold showed a mixed picture. May has been weak so far, but June continues to look strong.

Central Banks Added Nearly 84 Tons of Gold to Reserves in Q1

Despite a number of big sales, global central bank gold demand remained brisk as net holdings increased by 83.8 tons in the first quarter of 2022. That more than doubled the 41.2-ton expansion of central bank gold reserves in the last quarter of 2021 but was 29% lower than the first quarter of last year.

GDP Spin Is Orwellian Doublespeak

Despite all the talk about a “strong economy,” nobody was expecting a blistering hot GDP for the first quarter. The consensus was for around a 1% gain. As it turned out, it was even worse than expected. GDP shrank in Q1, contracting by 1.4%. Despite the awful number, the mainstream spun it as a positive. […]

Wages Are Up But You’re Worse Off

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Personal Income and Outlays data for March last week. Incomes and consumer spending were both up. The data had mainstream analysts crowing about a strong economy and good news for American consumers. But digging into the data reveals a very different picture.

Peter Schiff: GDP and Stocks Down, Inflation Up; That Equals Recession

GDP contracted in Q1. The stock market has been tanking. The inflationary fire continues to burn. As Peter Schiff explained in his podcast, this all signals a recession. And yet the Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates. How is this going to work?

CFTC: Swaps Have Increased Gold Short Position by More than 1,300% since Nov 2015

Since the peak on March 8, Managed Money has reduced its Net Long positions by 60k contracts or 43%. Despite massive selling, the gold price has actually held up fairly well. The last time Managed Money net longs dropped this low in February, gold was struggling at the $1800 level, versus the struggle at $1900 […]

Can the Fed Pull Off a Magic Trick?

For the second month in a row, the Fed held true to its word and kept the balance sheet relatively flat. In aggregate, the balance sheet expanded by only $2B, though it did reach an all-time high mid-month. The drop to close out the month came as a result of $15B in mortgage-backed securities rolling […]

“The Economy Is Strong!” and Other Myths and Rumors: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap April 29

Jerome Powell and other policymakers at the Fed keep telling us they can raise interest rates and slay the inflation dragon because the economy is strong. But these central bankers have a long history of being wrong. And as host Mike Maharrey explains in this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, the recent GDP […]

Silver News: 2021 Silver Demand Explosion and Technical Innovations

Total global silver demand reached its highest level since 2015 last year, surging 19% to 1.05 billion ounces (Boz). There were increases in every key silver demand category. It was the first time since 1997 that all key sectors rose together. This is one of several silver-related stories in the latest edition of Silver News published by the […]

Gold Demand Surges in First Quarter

Gold demand surged to kick off the year, up 34% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2022. Total demand came in at 1,234 tons in Q1. That was the highest quarterly demand since Q4 2018, according to the World Gold Council’s Gold Demand Trends report. Demand in the first quarter of this year was 19% […]