Peter's Blog

Fed Policy in a Nutshell: Live in Hope; Die in Despair

During his post- FOMC meeting press conference, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said, “Hope for the best; plan for the worst.” I think he meant, “Live in hope; die in despair.”

Atlanta Fed Lowers Q3 GDP Growth Forecast Close to Zero

The Atlanta Fed has lowered its GDP estimate for the third quarter to 0.3%, and the trend is downward. That means the economy is teetering on the verge of another quarter of negative GDP growth. Would that be enough to raise recession alarms?

Fed Rate Hikes Will Add Trillions to National Debt

Federal Reserve rate hikes will add trillions to the national debt, according to an analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Comex Stock Report: The Vaults are Still Bleeding

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.

Chinese Gold Demand Appears to Be Picking Up Again

Gold demand in China showed renewed strength over the last two months despite scattered COVID-19 lockdowns. Both gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) in August and gold imports in July were up. China ranks as the world’s number one gold consumer.

Retail Sales Headline Reveals Mainstream Cluelessness About Inflation

When it comes to the economy, inflation, and the Federal Reserve, the mainstream just doesn’t get it. This headline from Fox Business reveals the level of confusion. “Retail sales unexpectedly edge higher in August despite soaring inflation” [Emphasis added]

A “Silver” Lining in the Metals Market: Silver Rally Could Bode Well for Both Gold and Silver

While gold dropped last week, silver rallied. Peter Schiff called it a “silver lining” that could indicate we’re near the bottom in the precious metals dip. Gold and silver have sold off with every inflation surprise to the upside. The markets think persistent inflation means the Fed will get even more aggressive with rate hikes. […]

Peter Schiff: FedEx Reveals the Myth of the “Soft Landing”

Inflation continues to surprise to the upside. Meanwhile, the economy continues to surprise to the downside. But the markets continue to believe that the Federal Reserve can slay the inflation monster while still guiding the economy to a so-called “soft landing.” FedEx announced some news last week that undercuts this narrative. In his podcast, Peter […]

Treasury Runs Largest August Deficit Ever as Interest Costs Soar

The federal government ran a $220 billion deficit in August. It was the largest monthly deficit since last July.

The Dirty Little Secret: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Sept. 16, 2022

We got the August CPI data this week and it came in hotter than expected. Stocks suffered a big selloff. Everybody is betting on the Fed to get even more aggressive in its inflation fight. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the data and exposes a dirty […]