Peter's Blog

Why Won’t the Fed Be Able to Shrink Its Balance Sheet?

Earlier this week, Federal Reserve governor and vice-chair nominee Lael Brainard indicated the central bank will shrink its balance sheet at a “considerably” more rapid pace than it did during the previous cycle. I, Peter Schiff and a few others outside the mainstream have said the Fed won’t be able to do this. Why not?

Trailing Twelve-Month Trade Deficit Exceeds $900 Billion

The US continues to run massive trade deficits. Despite the lack of interest in the mainstream, trade deficits matter. And as Peter Schiff said last fall, we can’t just ignore these trade deficits forever. February did not set a new monthly trade deficit record, but it was very close, and it was worse than projected.

A Dark Day in Economic History; Could It Happen Again?

Yesterday (April 5) was the anniversary of a dark day in US economic history. On April 5, 1933, President Franklin D. Roosevelt issued EO-6102. It was the beginning of the end for the gold standard.

Peter Schiff: The People at the Fed Aren’t Hawks; They’re Chickenhawks

Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard sounded a hawkish tone on Tuesday, promising to ramp up the inflation fight. As Peter Schiff put it in his podcast, the uber-dove started talking like a super-hawk. But the Fed members aren’t really going to be able to follow through on this inflation fight. In reality, they aren’t hawks. […]

Your Rising Wages May Make You Feel Better — Until You Try to Buy Stuff

Despite the biggest increase in average hourly wages for production and non-supervisory workers in 40 years, these people are actually worse off. Why? Rising prices are eating up their income gains.

Peter Schiff: America Is Heading for Stagflation

Most people seem to think that tighter monetary policy will bring on a recession, but they believe that it will solve the inflation problem. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explained why they’ve got it half right. We are heading toward a recession, but it’s not going to solve the inflation problem. In reality, we’re heading […]

Hedge Funds Have Room to Push Gold Higher

There is a correlation between Managed Money activity and the price of gold. Managed Money net longs str down from their March peak. This indicates there is money on the sideline that could rush into the market if gold breaks through current resistance Please note: the COTs report was published 4/1/2022 for the period ending […]

The Fed Can’t Fix the Damage It Has Already Done

Last month, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by one-quarter percent in its first salvo against rampant inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has indicated that the central bank will get more aggressive in its inflation fight in the coming months. Conventional wisdom holds that monetary tightening will reverse the impacts of the extraordinarily loose monetary […]

Russia Is Quietly Making the Case for Owning Gold

Russia has quietly made the case for owning gold. The head of the Russian Parliament, Pavel Zavalny, made comments recently addressing the subject of economic and financial sanctions. It’s clear that gold is playing a large role in protecting Russian wealth. That role may get bigger and it could create a paradigm shift in how […]

Was March a Strong Jobs Report? Maybe…

According to the BLS, the economy added 431k jobs in March. February was revised up to 750k from an original 678k. The unemployment rate fell to 3.6%. It would appear this was another strong jobs report. But when you did into the data, it’s not that clear-cut.