Peter's Blog

Congress Must Reclaim Its Authority Over Tariffs

President Trump continues to make waves with tariffs, with each announcement sending the market into a frenzy. Whether said tariffs will make economic life better is doubtful, but one thing is certain. It is foolish to entrust the power to levy such taxes to one man.

Has Slowing Money Supply Growth Led to a Directionless Stock Market?

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Imprimis and the Danger of Price Controls

50 years ago, Hillsdale College released the first in a series of mailed pamphlets. At the time they could have no idea about how much this publicity arm of the college would grow in the future, or the amount of public discourse it would cause. Imprimis’ has become one of the most widely circulated academic […]

Peter Schiff: The Markets See Stagflation

On Sunday’s podcast, Peter recaps the economic excitement from the tail of last week and the weekend. He starts by analyzing the market’s downturn from Friday and then proceeds to cover more government waste, global interest rates, and the Fed’s policy path moving forward into 2025. He concludes by discussing the legacy of his late […]

Even the NYT Is Saying, “Buy Gold”

A recent piece in the New York Times encouraged readers to buy gold, noting its record-breaking run since 2020. However, what the article gets wrong is associating the phenomenon with presidential policies instead of central bank monetary policy. Treasury policies can contribute to money supply growth by issuing debt, and presidential policies can add fuel […]

Did an Arbitrage Opportunity Expose the Weakness in the London Gold Market?

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

The Core and Curse of DOGE

Every election Americans have been desensitized to claims of cutting spending and somehow getting everything they want at the same time. We expect that candidates will say we can have it all. We hypothetically know that cutting spending and government waste are good things, but they always take second priority to whatever urgent situation or […]

Peter Schiff: Thank You, DOGE!

In his latest podcast from Wednesday night, Peter addresses the renewed buzz surrounding Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Peter argues that no matter how many cuts are made, the government’s nature ensures that fraud and abuse will persist. Without market forces exerting pressure on bureaucrats, the state has to reason to spend and […]

Schiff on Palisades Gold Radio: Be Prepared for the Worst

This week Peter appeared on the Palisades Gold Radio YouTube channel for an interview with host Tom Bodrovics. The duo cover a variety of topics, ranging from the definition of inflation and modern equity markets to economic developments in China and disruptions in the yen carry trade. For more of Peter’s analysis, check out his […]

Purchasing Power and Global Demand for the U.S. Dollar

With trade wars popping in and out of headlines during the Trump presidency, there are no guarantees when it comes to foreign exchange. As tariffs, bailouts, and central banks all affect exchange rates, it’s worth revisiting what causes the international economy to demand the almighty US dollar.