Peter’s Blog

Please note: the CoTs report was published 12/30/2024 for the period ending 12/24/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

When analyzing the errors of policymakers, politicians, and pundits, it’s useful to trace their misunderstandings to the source– debunked and fallacious economic theories, such as Keynesianism and Protectionism. The antidote to these mistakes is sound theory– such as that espoused by the Austrian School of Economics– that correctly understands money, entrepreneurship, and the nature of […]

The world has watched for decades as U.S. ports have lagged behind their international counterparts. As they have become increasingly plagued by congestion, delays, and rising costs, it becomes increasingly clear that the publicly-owned port authorities are failing to meet the demands of modern global trade. The solution lies in privatization, a much-needed approach that […]

The American economy is under assault from two sides. With inflationary central banks seeking to undermine the dollar and protectionist populists looking to restrict free trade abroad, it’s crucial for the incoming Trump administration to fight for economic freedom on both fronts. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed […]

This week marks the 111th anniversary of the creation of the Federal Reserve, an institution that has primarily served the interests of the political class and its cronies. With the power to print money continually expanding, it’s worth analyzing the phenomena of central banking throughout history. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

For the last two years, the media and establishment political class have claimed Fed policy has been sufficiently restrictive to tame inflation. But with Jerome Powell’s recent admission that inflation is higher than it should be, it’s clear that the Fed has not been hawkish enough. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

Last week, Peter joined Kai from the Soar Financially YouTube channel for an interview on the state of the economy, Federal Reserve policy, and the interplay between domestic politics, gold, and inflation. This interview is a great recap of the most important events of 2024, and Peter offers his perspective on what 2025 will hold […]

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

Powell is admitting that inflation is still too high, but the Fed still plans to cut interest rates by .25%. So why are mortgage rates going up?

Gold futures, ETFs, and options are traded in enormous volumes that often dwarf the actual physical gold supply. These offer liquidity and allow investors to gain “exposure” to gold without taking possession of the metal…but do these financial products actually provide “exposure” to gold at all? Paper gold introduces distortions and opportunities for dishonesty that […]