Peter's Blog

The Yield Curve & Christine Lagarde Agree — Don’t Expect A “Soft Landing”

An inverted Treasury yield curve has historically been associated with economic downturns, preceding every recession since the late 1960s. Earlier this year, it set a new record for remaining inverted for more than 624 days, which was the 1978 record.

Peter Schiff: More Doom in the Data

In this episode, Peter recaps the latest batch of economic data, in which revisions to job numbers and a declining manufacturing sector bode poorly for the economy. He also analyzes gold and silver’s big week last week and offers some thoughts on President Biden’s recent post-debate interview on ABC.

The Degenerative Disaster of Medicare

In 2023, the U.S. spent 1.04 trillion dollars on Medicare, which is over $3,000 per citizen. For an inefficient, problem-ridden program, that number is difficult for Americans to stomach.

Treasury Finally Issues Some Long-Term Debt

After nearly 10 months of issuing mostly short-term debt, the Treasury finally issued Notes in 2 of the last 3 months.

Jobs: QCEW Shows Further Evidence of Wildly Inaccurate Headline Report

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the headline number, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

US Budget Crisis Will Impoverish American Families

Amid record tax receipts, the U.S. still faces a dire fiscal future, with deficit spending predicted to climb from $1.9 trillion in 2024 to a staggering $2.8 trillion by 2034. This unsustainable financial trajectory threatens to cripple the economy with higher taxes, stunted growth, and a devalued currency. The overwhelming debt burden will be passed […]

Summer Feeling Hotter Than Usual? Gold Could Be Too.

Certain climate scientists, research economists, and precious metal investors agree: This year could be one of the hottest on record.

Liberty & Inflation for All: Fireworks Shows Are Scaling Down

While the cost of fireworks is down compared to last year, prices of just about everything else are way up. That means individuals are still buying fireworks to light off themselves, but the size and scope of municipal fireworks shows are being downgraded in many towns and cities across the country — and in some […]

Is France the Next Greece?

French markets have found some relief after the first round of its latest election, with stocks recovering somewhat and bond yields falling after reaching a 12-year high. But no matter which side wins in France, the market is afraid that an increase in unsustainable spending could be the common denominator. 

The Modern Myth of “Wage Slavery”

The idea of ‘wage slavery’ unfairly compares today’s suffering job market to historical chattel slavery, using outdated 19th-century arguments to criticize modern work. This oversimplification overlooks the significant improvements in workers’ freedom and their right to work.  Some will choose to work at a lower wage than accept a worse alternative.