Peter's Blog

Will Trump Tariffs Kill Commercial Real Estate?

Will the Trump administration’s proposed tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian imports could send shockwaves through the already vulnerable U.S. commercial real estate market? With a 10% tariff on goods from China and 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, the additional cost will be passed along to the US builder and consumer — […]

Why Prices Don’t Measure Value

In a perpetually inflationary economy, politicians and policymakers love to spread fallacies related to market prices. Whether they’re blaming business for inflation or downplaying the costs of tariffs, they frequently rely on the false premise that prices are somehow “measurements of value.” The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed […]

Cutting Federal Workers Starts with Cutting Federal Spending

With the Department of Government Efficiency garnering constant media attention, part of the incoming Trump administration’s messaging centers on reducing government payrolls. While this would certainly improve the economy, President-elect Trump should remember that payrolls are not the only public expenditure that needs to be slashed. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

CPI: Shelter Prices are Rising 4.7% YoY

This analysis takes the BLS inflation data and recalculates the percentage changes at the category level to get unrounded numbers. The total number ties to the BLS, but it gives more detail at the granular level.

Schiff on Everyday Investor: The Economy Needs Deflation

In a recent discussion with Darcy Ungaro of The Everyday Investor, Peter challenged the widespread narratives surrounding government spending, the Fed’s 2% inflation target, and the policies that perpetuate these problems. Peter and Darcy highlight the underlying structural issues that plague the economy—massive government debt, intentional inflation, and a citizenry oblivious of the true cost […]

Peter Schiff: Powell Hops on the Bitcoin Bandwagon

On Friday, Peter took to his podcast to analyze a week full of economic data, public statements made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and lots of movement in the Bitcoin world. Peter focuses this episode on Powell’s public comments on inflation and Bitcoin, noting that speculation surrounding a possible Bitcoin reserve is responsible for driving […]

Jobs: Household Survey Shows Negative Job Gains YTD

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

Powell Says Bitcoin is “Just Like Gold.” Except It’s Not

Jerome Powell recently told reporters that Bitcoin is “like gold—only digital.”

The Illusion of Government Efficiency

President-elect Trump’s proposed “Department of Government Efficiency” continues to both enrage big government leftists and excite conservatives and libertarians. While there is certainly great merit in shrinking the size and scope of the state, it’s worth remembering that government– by its very nature– cannot be “efficient.” The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

What does MV = PQ Mean for America?

As prices rise and economic uncertainty becomes a daily reality, many Americans are left grappling with the question: how did we get here? With inflation eating away at purchasing power, the need for a sound monetary policy has never been more pressing. In these turbulent times, the insights of Nobel laureate Milton Friedman shine brightly. […]