Peter’s Blog

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

The Trade Deficit is one of the two components of the twin deficits; the other being the federal budget deficit which was last reviewed in January. The trade deficit used to be a number that received a ton of attention in the 1980s and 1990s because it was determined to be a strong gauge of […]

In Sunday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter tackles the misguided optimism of the Federal Reserve, the dangers of escalating tariffs, and the troubling signs of entrenched stagflation. Peter takes a critical view of Jerome Powell’s policies, scrutinizes the logic behind rate cuts amidst ongoing inflation, and warns investors that Bitcoin will continue to […]

This year’s April Fools joke from the Federal Reserve is the same this year as every other:  Pretending that a small group of unelected academics can micromanage the economy to create an ideal balance between employment, inflation, and cost of borrowing. The Fed wants to control the economy, but all it achieves is distortion. And […]

Last week, Peter joined Devan on mining.com to discuss gold’s recent price records and the future of the mining and metals sectors. The pair discuss why gold’s surge in 2025 hasn’t quite spilled over into the mining sector, the significance of copper’s record prices, and why Trump’s trade policies may send both metals even higher.

Please note: the CoTs report was published 3/28/2025 for the period ending 3/25/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

What can dubious pricing strategies of airlines in the 1990s teach us about the dynamics of the U.S. government? The Airline Tariff Publishing Company (ATPCO) allowed airlines to post their prices online long before the airlines actually had to commit to offering those prices to consumers. This was supposed to allow freedom of information on […]

Bitcoiners are hoping that the Trump administration will pump their bags to new all-time highs this year with a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. But all around the world, governments are selling bitcoin and buying gold, not the other way around.

As the stock market slumps and the economy shows signs of recession, the Trump administration is preparing for an economic detox. But just how did the economy get here? What drives the business cycle?

Austrian economists agree that the Fed drives both inflation and the business cycle and is accordingly responsible for the Great Recession and our current economy. Given the Fed’s current policy path and America’s political climate, what’s the best way to end the Fed?