Peter's Blog

Money Supply Grew by 4% in 2024

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Peter Schiff: The Dollar Takes a Dip

On Friday, Peter went live to discuss the first trading week of Donald Trump’s second term. Throughout the episode, he describes the dangers of excessive consumption and how global investment in AI might sedate the economy in the short run. He also explains the recent drop in the U.S. dollar and gives his unfiltered take […]

Ending War by Ending the Fed: The Hidden Cost of Inflation

Critics of the Fed are well-versed in arguments against central banking. It enables reckless spending and creates monetary confusion, and it distorts prices for consumers. History also reveals another troubling result of central banking: more frequent and deadlier war.

Gold Rallies as December Inflation Prompts Unease

Gold futures soared on the back of yesterday’s December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, climbing by $29.50 (1.10%) to settle at $2,722.60 for the most active February contract. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that overall inflation rose 0.4% in December—exceeding November’s 0.3% pace and slightly above economists’ consensus of 0.3%. On an annual […]

Rising Inflation Expectations Spark Concerns Over Tariffs and Consumer Confidence

U.S. consumers are bracing for higher prices over the next 12 months, according to the University of Michigan’s latest survey. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.3% in January, up significantly from 2.8% in December. This is the steepest increase since May and pushes the short-term outlook above the 2.3%-3.0% range seen in the two years […]

Irresponsible Government Debt: The Catalyst for the Next Financial Crisis

History is replete with examples of major recessions that were ostensibly caused by mere asset bubbles, like subprime mortgages in 2008. The truth, however, is not so simple. In reality, these downturns are exacerbated and often triggered by disastrous government policy, namely excessive spending and the creation of perverse incentives.

If We Have a Strong Economy, Why Are Americans Struggling?

The 10-year treasury yield rocketed up to near 5%, and analysts say it’s because the economy is strong despite higher inflation. But if the economy is so strong, why are Americans so indebted, cash-poor, and desperate?

Fiscal Federalism: Reducing Federal Funding for Local Governments

With over $36 trillion in debt, the United States government must recklessly slash spending to avoid economic catastrophe. One often overlooked solution to this spending problem is fiscal federalism– the notion that local governments should fund themselves and not be tied to the will of Washington, D.C.

Monetary Malaise: Why Voter Dissatisfaction Won’t Trigger a Revolution in the Fed’s Policies

As the installation of President-elect Trump approaches, Trump loyalists are clamoring for him to fulfill his campaign promises, especially those related to tariffs and immigration reform. Trump also has an opportunity to radically reform and weaken the Federal Reserve, but it’s unlikely that he will take any meaningful action to curb the source of inflation.

Schiff on Everyday Investor: The Economy Needs Deflation

In a recent discussion with Darcy Ungaro of The Everyday Investor, Peter challenged the widespread narratives surrounding government spending, the Fed’s 2% inflation target, and the policies that perpetuate these problems. Peter and Darcy highlight the underlying structural issues that plague the economy—massive government debt, intentional inflation, and a citizenry oblivious of the true cost […]