Peter's Blog

The Political Business Cycle, 50 Years On

With the Fed utterly clueless about inflation and GDP ticking lower, the Trump administration may be in trouble come midterms. As political narratives start to spin up, it’s worth recalling the nature of the so-called “Political Business Cycle.”

Stop Deficit Spending—Debt Reduction Follows Naturally

All libertarians agree: federal budget deficits must come to an end. But what comes after a balanced budget? How should libertarians handle the national debt?

Herbert Hoover: Rethinking the Free-Market Narrative

As this country approaches recession territory, interventionist myths about past recessions will only gain traction among the media and political class. One particularly egregious example– President Hoover’s role in the Great Depression– needs to be corrected.

The Fed’s April Fool’s: Pretending to Control Inflation

This year’s April Fools joke from the Federal Reserve is the same this year as every other:  Pretending that a small group of unelected academics can micromanage the economy to create an ideal balance between employment, inflation, and cost of borrowing. The Fed wants to control the economy, but all it achieves is distortion. And […]

M2 Grows for a 16th Straight Month

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Can Tariffs and DOGE Eliminate the Income Tax?

Freshly-confirmed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently appeared on CBS News, declaring that President Trump aims to eliminate income taxes for Americans earning less than $150,000 per year. Lutnick touted Trump’s vision for tariffs to replace the revenue lost from this massive tax cut.

Bessent is Right: The Economy Needs a Detox

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.

EU Uses War to Justify More Debt

Trump’s relatively anti-war approach to foreign policy is a breath of fresh air, but his attitude is not popular among certain European leaders. The president’s latest comments on NATO, in particular, have spooked the EU into funding military expansion by debt, reminding the world of the age-old connection between central banking and war.

Schiff on Sachs Realty: It’s Time for An Economic Reckoning

In his recent appearance with Todd on the Sachs Realty Podcast, Peter Schiff paints a sobering picture of America’s current economic landscape, challenging mainstream narratives promoted by Wall Street and the Federal Reserve. Throughout the discussion, he covers alarming trends from unsustainable debt levels and hidden recessions to mounting inflation and misguided trade policies, warning […]

Peter Schiff: Trump Should Emulate Washington

On Sunday, Peter revived his Sunday night podcast habit for a special President’s Day themed episode. In it he reflects on the character of George Washington and how far the country’s economic health has fallen since the founding of our country. President Trump can follow Washington’s example if he wants to get the country back […]