Peter's Blog

Money Supply Growth Rate Continues to Decelerate

According to the seasonally adjusted data, M2 expanded by $59B in March. While the money supply is expanding, this is the slowest increase since June of 2021. It’s also almost $200B less than the $238B expansion last March.

Price Analysis: Will $1900 Hold?

The price analysis last month highlighted how gold was trying to carve out fragile support around $1900 and breakthrough resistance at $1950. Gold found a spark and broke through $1950, but has been unable to hold above it in the wake of “hawkish” Fed comments. Now, $1900 is being tested and should give clues to the next […]

COMEX Countdown: Are Banks Forgetting Silver to Focus on Gold?

Delivery volume for silver on the COMEX has dropped to the lowest level in months. Are banks ignoring silver to focus on gold? This analysis focuses on gold and silver physical delivery on the Comex. See the article What is the Comex for more detail.

The Fed’s Conundrum: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap April 22, 2022

The Fed faces a real conundrum. Bond yields continue to rise. The only thing that can stop it is a central bank pivot back to rate cuts and quantitative easing. But the Fed needs to raise rates and shrink its balance sheet to fight inflation. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host […]

Don’t Miss the “Real” Story on Rising Bond Yields

Earlier this week, the yield on the 30-year Treasury rose above 3% for the first time since April 2019 as the carnage in the bond market continues. Rising yields have put pressure on gold. The yellow metal flirted with $2,000 an ounce but has since fallen below the $1,950 resistance. Once again, investors are fixated […]

The Surge in Gold Inventory Continues at Comex

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.

Powell’s Price Hike: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap April 15, 2022

We got the CPI data for March this week. As expected, prices spiked significantly again last month. A lot of people in the mainstream are calling it “Putin’s price hike.” Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey says it would be more appropriate to call it Powell’s price hike. In this episode of the podcast, he […]

Treasury Borrows $2.27 Trillion in 12-Month Period

The Treasury ran a budget deficit of $193B in the month of March. This exceeded the 12-month average of $144B. Over the last year, the Treasury has seen a massive influx of Individual tax revenues that have helped support the ballooning Federal Deficit. Unfortunately, spending has been so high that the additional revenue did not […]

CPI 1.2% MoM and 8.6% YoY – Is this Peak Inflation?

The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for March was 1.21% month over month, with a non-seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.56%. Both of these numbers came in slightly above expectations, which were elevated due to the war in Ukraine.

ETF Gold Holdings Surged in March

Global ETF gold holdings surged in March, charting the third straight month of inflows. Net inflows of gold into ETFs came in at 187.3 tons last month, as total holdings rose to 3,837 tons, just shy of the all-time record high. It was the biggest jump in ETF gold holdings since July 2020, according to […]