Peter's Blog

UBS Increases Gold Forecast

UBS recently increased its March 2026 gold forecast by $100 to $3600. As much as regulatory entities try to make gold take a back seat, everyone else seems to recognize its huge value added to any investment portfolio. The continuing acceleration of the Dollar’s decline is a huge factor in the UBS gold increase projection. […]

Peter Schiff: PPI Says Inflation is Back

On Sunday’s podcast, Peter breaks down the latest economic headlines and explains why the official PPI numbers, released last week, are hiding a worsening reality. He connects bad jobs revisions, distorted inflation measures, and reckless trade moves to a policy mix that will fan inflation while weakening American industry. He opens by revisiting last week’s […]

The IRS’s Least Favorite Collectible

It would be natural to assume that gold would be treated like an investment by the government. However, US tax regulations put gold in an entirely different category than almost any other serious investment. While many thoughtful people choose to view gold as an investment, the IRS chooses to view it as a collectible. This […]

Tariffs Won’t Produce Prosperous Trade Deals

Recent policy from the White House has protectionists lauding President Trump’s so-called “trade deals” around the world. Regardless of the legality of these policies, it’s certain that they entail grave economic risks for the US. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Peter […]

Schiff on MoneyMasters: Silver Catches Up, Tariffs, Bonds, and Stagflation Risk

Last week, Peter appeared on the Money Masters podcast to map out the next moves in precious metals, the dollar, and markets more broadly. He lays out a thesis of de-dollarization, warns that tariffs and weak growth will stress the bond market, and argues that the Fed’s choices are likely to entrench a stagflationary outcome. 

When the Data Is Bad, Just Lie

Bad jobs numbers? Just say they’re good. High inflation? Just claim it’s low. While the old adage “numbers don’t lie” may have a ring of truth, in reality, people lie a lot, and governments lie constantly—and they’re releasing the data that all the big decisions are supposed to be based on.  For example, if people […]

Schiff on Mining Network: Borrowing Short Puts the Country at Risk

Peter recently returned to the Mining Network for an interview with Peter Gadsdon. In this interview the duo covers executive overreach, unreliable government jobs data, a weakening dollar, and why persistent inflation will keep the Federal Reserve from cutting rates. Peter ties all of these threads to a larger theme — loss of confidence in […]

Producer Prices Punch 0.9% Higher in July, Surpassing Consensus Estimates

Upstream price pressures roared back in July, according to Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The headline PPI for final demand leapt 0.9 percent after a flat reading in June. Year-over-year, producer prices are now 3.3 percent higher, the largest 12-month increase since February. The data landed just 2 […]

Fed’s Barkin Says “Fasten Your Seatbelts” for Bumpy Road

Economic cross-currents, political headwinds, and an elevated gold price framed Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin’s August 12 remarks to The Health Management Academy in Chicago. Barkin told the Four Seasons crowd that U.S. real GDP expanded at just 1.2 percent during the first half of 2025, less than half last year’s 2.5 […]

Abolish the Bank of Portugal Before It Causes More Damage

Free-marketers are quick (and correct) to blame the Fed for America’s monetary troubles. But as bad as the Federal Reserve is, other countries, like Portugal, have corrupt central banks that rival the Fed in its corporatism, inflationism, and irresponsibility. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not necessarily […]