Peter's Blog

The Dangerous Myth of a Soft Landing

The Federal Reserve has pushed interest rates to over 5%. At the most recent FOMC meeting, it indicated that it may have to hold rates higher for longer. But the mainstream remains unconcerned. The narrative is that the Fed has successfully raised rates to fight inflation and is now guiding the economy to a “soft […]

Jim Grant: Fed Policy Is a Ph.D. standard of Improvisation

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve, and people are wondering, what will it do next? The messaging coming from the central bankers is that they will need to keep interest rates higher for longer. But is that possible given the economic conditions and all of the debt in the economy? Investment and economics writer […]

Americans Aren’t Buying the “Great Economy” Narrative

The Fed people insist the economy is strong. They upped their GDP growth projections at their last meeting. Joe Biden thinks the economy is strong. He keeps bragging about the marvelous achievements of “Bidenomics.” Mainstream economists keep telling us the economy is strong. But the average American isn’t buying any of it. (Perhaps price inflation […]

Peter Schiff: It’s the Beginning of the End of This Whole Phony Economy

Interest rates continue to push relentlessly higher. As Peter Schiff explained in his podcast, that’s a big problem when the entire economy is built on a foundation of cheap money. But most people in the mainstream don’t seem to grasp the gravity of the situation. They don’t realize that we are at the beginning of […]

Peter Schiff: Jerome Powell Is Just Guessing

Everybody knew that the Federal Reserve wasn’t going to hike rates at the September FOMC meeting. And yet everybody waited with bated breath to hear what Jerome Powell would say. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explained why people hang on Powell’s every word. It’s not because they think he knows what inflation or interest rates […]

Saying One Thing; Doing Whatever: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Sept. 22, 2023

The Federal Reserve wrapped up its September meeting on Wednesday and left interest rates unchanged. But Powell and Company had plenty to say. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the rhetoric and argues that what the Fed says and what it will do are two different things.

There’s a Herd of Elephants in the Room

Among the many problems currencies the markets face, there is one that is undocumented: the eurodollar market. This is yet another very large elephant in the room. This article quantifies eurodollars and eurodollar bonds, which are additional to US money supply and credit.

Fed Talk and Dot Plots: There’s a Big Difference Between Saying and Doing

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at the September FOMC meeting, but the committee indicated that it plans to hold rates higher for longer than originally projected. As you digest the Fed meeting, it’s important to remember that there is a big difference between “saying” and “doing.”

Japanese Go on Gold-Buying Spree as Price Inflation Runs Rampant

With price inflation running rampant in Japan, Japanese households are rushing to buy gold. The sudden surge in demand, along with the devaluation of the yen, has driven the price of gold to record highs in yen terms.

Peter Schiff: The Inflation War Is Over; Inflation Won!

After the August CPI data came out, Paul Krugman declared that the inflation war was over. The Biden administration and the Fed won the fight. In his podcast, Peter Schiff said he actually agrees with Krugman, at least in part. The inflation war is over. But who really won?