Peter's Blog

Managed Money Ends 2022 on Bullish Note

Please note: the CoTs report was published 12/30/2022 for the period ending 12/27/2022. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. Gold finished the year on a strong note, with Managed Money reaching a net-long position of 50k. This is the largest net long position for Managed Money going back to June 2022.

The Fed has Missed the Balance Sheet Mortgage Back Security Reduction Target Reduction Every Single Month

The Fed has a targeted balance sheet reduction of $95B a month. After reaching and exceeding this target last month, the Fed is back to undershooting. This should not come as a surprise given the turmoil in the bond market this year and the lack of liquidity.

Did Platinum Just Break the Comex?

This analysis typically starts with gold, but the activity in platinum is a major event that should not be overlooked. See the article What is the Comex? for a bit of backstory.

The Fed Can’t Win: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Dec. 30, 2022

The Federal Reserve is trying to win a war against price inflation without tipping the economy into a recession. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey highlights two more reasons this is a game the Fed can’t win. He also does a quick overview of the gold market in 2022 as […]

Money Supply Growth Continues Massive Divergence from History

The 13-week annualized non-seasonally adjusted money supply growth rate is crashing at a time when it typically moves up. The market is becoming increasingly more vulnerable to a major event in the weeks or months ahead. Let’s take a look at the data…

Gold and Silver are Setting up for a Strong Advance in 2023

While the price analysis last month was very neutral, the data this month points to a bit more positive momentum in the gold and silver markets. Last month I highlighted that gold was trapped between long-term support and resistance.

Comex Update: Platinum Shorts on Edge While Silver Longs Still Wait?

December gold is having the weakest major delivery month since February. This is surprising given the recent strength in gold and considering that last December saw quite a large number of contracts deliver (36k). I commented on this a few weeks ago, suggesting that the lower volume was a result of thinner supplies. I think the […]

Crying Wolf? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Dec. 23, 2022

Are the people who are predicting a big economic crash right? Or are they just crying wolf? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey explains why it’s hard to predict the exact timing of a crash even if you’re certain it’s on the horizon. He also talks about a couple […]

Silver and Gold! Or Peppermint?

‘Tis the season for Christmas specials. I’m not going to lie – even as a grown man, I love watching Christmas specials. Snoopy decorating his dog house. The Grinch folding up the Christmas tree like an umbrella and stuffing it up the chimney. And Frosty the snowman melting in the greenhouse.

COMEX: Silver Registered Ratio Falls to 11.1% – Lowest in 22 Years

The drainage of silver from Comex vaults since the start of the year has been nothing short of spectacular. This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show […]