Peter's Blog

Another Big Jobs Miss: All But Two Categories Are Below The 12-Month Trend

For the second month in a row, the jobs numbers in September came in well below expectations. The Labor Department reported an increase of only 194,000 jobs, well below the estimated 500,000. The big miss was similar to August’s report. Despite the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.8% from 5.2% and an upward August revision of […]

A Lack of Self-Reflection: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Oct. 8, 2021

Inflation continues to run hot. Even some of the folks over at the Fed are having a hard time peddling the “transitory” inflation narrative. But politicians and government officials lack the skill of self-reflection. As a result, they can’t clearly see the problem. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey looks […]

Surge in Imported Services Sends Trade Deficit to New Record

The US trade deficit surged to yet another new record in August as Americans are importing more and more services to go along with all of their imported goods. The August trade deficit came in at $73.25 billion, 4.2% higher than the July trade deficit of $70.3 billion. The August deficit set a new record […]

Demand for Silver in Electronics Sector Projected to Surge

The demand for silver is expected to expand along with the continued growth in global connectivity. According to a report released by the Silver Institute, silver demand in electronics and electrical applications is projected to rise by 10% by 2025.

Hedge Funds Pile into Short Positions During September

Please note: the COTs report was published 10/1/2021 for the period ending 9/28/2021. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders analysis last month showed a potentially bullish setup in both gold and silver. The washout of Managed Money Net Long contracts that occurred in early August appeared to be over and a […]

Delivery Results: Silver Down and Gold Mixed

As we move into October, physical silver delivery is down on Comex while gold was a mixed bag. This analysis focuses on gold and silver physical delivery on the Comex. See the article What is the Comex for more detail.

Fed Absorbs $60B of 1 to 5-Year US Treasuries in September

The Fed keeps talk, talk, talking about tapering quantitative easing, but the balance sheet continues to get bigger and bigger and bigger. The Fed balance sheet stands at $8.45 trillion, up by$115 billion from the prior month-end.

Ohio Gold and Silver Tax Repeal Now in Effect

(October 1, 2021) – Beginning today, you will no longer have to pay sales tax when you buy gold and silver in the state of Ohio. Last summer, Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine signed a bill into law that exempts gold and silver bullion and coins from sales tax. This will not only relieve some of the […]

M2 Grows at Fastest Pace Since February

Even as the Fed talked about tightening monetary policy, the money supply grew at the fastest pace since last winter. In the latest period, M2 increased by $263 billion. This is a major jump compared to the last two months and is the highest month-over-month growth since February. The same period in 2020 saw M2 only […]

Price Analysis Shows Bearish Indicators but Exhaustion May Be Near

One of the major technical indicators for investors is the 50 Day Moving Average (DMA) vs the 200 DMA. This analysis examines these moving averages for both gold and silver along with other technical indicators.