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December 7, 2023 Original Analysis

Joe Biden: Economic Ignoramus

Are “greedy” corporations driving inflation? Could taxing billionaires solve the federal government’s fiscal problems? According to President Joe Biden, the answer to both questions is yes. And the correct answer is no.

November 30, 2023 Original Analysis

US Trade Deficit 2024

No one is talking about the US trade deficit in the current fiscal year, but it is likely to be another record, bringing with it new rounds of trade sanctions and protectionism. In this article, I explain why the twin deficit hypothesis will apply, bearing in mind a likely budget deficit outturn of $3 trillion […]

November 28, 2023 Original Analysis

Deutsche Bank Economists Say the Fed Will Create More Inflation in 2024

Deutsche Bank economists say the Federal Reserve will create more inflation in 2024. OK, that’s not exactly what they said. But that is the implication of their latest forecast.

November 23, 2023 Original Analysis

Managing a Crisis

This article concludes that the current downturn in bond yields is part of a continuing market manipulation by central banks in order to restore confidence in the global economic outlook. There is a long history of government intervention in markets. In the nineteenth century, it was by legal regulation, the most notable of which was […]

November 22, 2023 Original Analysis

Shrinkflation: Robbing Us Quietly in Back Alleys

Inflation robs you of purchasing power by driving up the price of everything you buy. You see the impacts of inflation every time you go to the store. But sometimes inflation hits you in a more subtle way that’s difficult to see – through “shrinkflation.” I experienced shrinkflation first-hand last weekend.

November 16, 2023 Original Analysis

Is Gold About to Take Off?

The technical position for gold is looking very positive for higher prices. But technical analysis should be backed by fundamentals. To a large extent, fundamentals are in the eye of the beholder, whose opinions in any situation can vary from positive to negative and everything in between. But even for the economic optimists, there are […]

November 10, 2023 Original Analysis

Playing Into Putin’s Hands – Again

The Great Game of Geopolitics faces a new challenge. The new hotspot is Israel and the Muslim Middle East. Ukraine is all but over, and the US is likely to abandon her to her fate — like Afghanistan. We shall have to see how both will play out. Meanwhile, energy prices are set to keep […]

November 10, 2023 Original Analysis

The Road to Prosperity Is Paved With Credit Cards? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Nov. 10, 2023

Mainstream pundits and government officials keep talking about the strong economy and resilient consumers while ignoring what’s driving them – borrowing. To listen to them, you would think the road to prosperity is paved with credit cards. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey breaks down the recent household debt data […]

November 5, 2023 Original Analysis

Is All This Military Spending Really Good for the Economy?

Is war and military spending really good for the economy? A lot of people seem to think so. In fact, President Joe Biden is selling the latest proposal to send military aid to Israel and Ukraine as an economic stimulus plan. But this notion that spending money for war somehow boosts the economy is rooted in […]

November 2, 2023 Original Analysis

The Future for Fiat

The day of reckoning for unproductive credit is in sight. With G7 national finances spiraling out of control, debt traps are being sprung on all of them, with the sole exception of Germany.