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August 25, 2022 Original Analysis

Peter Schiff: Washington D.C. Goes Full Orwellian

An audacious communications campaign from Democrats in Washington is currently underway that is attempting to convince the public that: There is no recession Inflation has been vanquished Even if inflation is still alive, targeted new Federal legislation will kill it

August 23, 2022 Original Analysis

The Numbers Don’t Lie; The Fed Won’t Win This Inflation Fight

The central bankers at the Federal Reserve continue to talk tough about fighting inflation. But is it a fight they can win? The numbers say no.

August 18, 2022 Original Analysis

The Mainstream Punditry Never Finds Bad News in Retail Sales Numbers

The mainstream has suddenly discovered price movements impact retail sales. For months, retail sales generally came in higher than expected. And for months the mainstream financial punditry ignored inflation and told us this signaled a strong economy. But in July, retail sales unexpectedly fell flat. Now the mainstream financial punditry claims this signals a strong […]

August 17, 2022 Original Analysis

An Inauspicious Anniversary: Nixon Slams Shut the Gold Window

Fifty-one years ago this week, President Richard Nixon slammed shut the “gold window” and eliminated the last vestige of the gold standard. Nixon ordered Treasury Secretary John Connally to uncouple gold from its fixed $35 price and suspended the ability of foreign banks to directly exchange dollars for gold. During a national television address, on […]

August 15, 2022 Original Analysis

The US Government’s Spending Addiction Is a Big Problem for the Fed

The US government is addicted to spending money. And the Federal Reserve is Washington DC’s pusher. When we talk about inflation, we usually focus on money creation by the Fed. After all, that is the definition of inflation. But the Fed has to keep creating money in order to monetize the massive federal deficit. And […]

August 11, 2022 Original Analysis

Will the Fed Stay in the Ring With Inflation? Or Is the Tough Talk Just Hot Air?

Cooling Consumer Price Index data did not cool the hot rhetoric coming from some Federal Reserve members. The question is whether this is a bunch of hot air or do these central bankers actually have the fortitude to move forward with rate hikes in the face of a sinking economy?

August 10, 2022 Original Analysis

CPI Cools Modestly; How Will the Fed Play This?

As expected, the Consumer Price index cooled a bit thanks to falling gasoline prices. The question is will this give the Federal Reserve the excuse it needs bow out of the inflation fight? The Consumer Price Index for July was up 8.5% year-on-year. That was down from June’s 9.1% print and slightly below the 8.7% […]

August 3, 2022 Original Analysis

Peter Schiff Damn the Recession! It’s Rate Hikes Ahead!

After the second straight negative GDP print in Q2, the markets began anticipating that the Federal Reserve would pivot away from its monetary tightening. But a few choice words from some Fed members this week caused thoughts of a pivot to pivot. As Peter Schiff put it in his podcast, it appears to be damn […]

July 28, 2022 Original Analysis

Is the Federal Reserve at the End of Its Rope?

The Federal Reserve delivered another 75 basis point interest rate hike at its July FOMC meeting. This pushes the federal funds rate over the 2% threshold to between 2.25% and 2.5%. The mainstream media emphasized the size of the hike. One headline called it “a second super-sized hike,” with many other mainstream pundits noting that […]

July 25, 2022 Original Analysis

Taking Gaslighting to New Heights the White House Changes the Definition of “Recession”

You don’t have to worry about that recession anymore. The White House fixed it. And by “fixed it” I mean it just changed the commonly held definition of a recession.