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September 21, 2021Original Analysis

Does the Fed Really Want a “Bond Market Tantrum”?

A Reuters article by Stefano Rebaudo argued that the Federal Reserve might welcome a “bond market tantrum” that pushes bond yields higher. But does the Fed really want higher interest rates? And what would that mean for the economy? Despite the post-pandemic economic improvement and wide expectations that the Fed will begin tapering quantitative easing […]

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August 30, 2021Original Analysis

Peter Schiff: Biden’s Rent Gambit

The “transitory” inflation swamping the country has stubbornly persisted into July.  Producer prices posted a second straight 1% month-over-month increase, which brought the full-year number to a record 7.8%. Twelve-month US export prices rose 17.2%, and nearly 22% if the rate of the first seven months of 2021 were annualized. (I find it telling that […]

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July 28, 2021Original Analysis

Another Fed Balance Sheet Record; Where’s the Exit Door?

For months, the markets have anticipated the Fed tightening monetary policy in order to take on rising inflation. At the June FOMC meeting, the central bank even hinted that it might start raising interest rates in 2023 instead of 2024, and the central bankers apparently talked about talking about tapering their quantitative easing bond-buying program. […]

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July 21, 2021Original Analysis

Paying More and Getting Less

In the Federal Reserve’s new world of “transitory” inflation, Americans are paying more to get less. Retail sales were up 0.6% from May to June. According to the Commerce Department, American consumers spent $621 billion on retail goods and services last month. With the big 1.7% drop in May, retail sales remained below levels in […]

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July 2, 2021Original Analysis

Fun on Friday: Happy Secession Day!

I haven’t heard; are we allowed to celebrate the Fourth of July or nah? You may recall that after Joe Biden was elected, he said if we were good little citizens and wore our masks, we might be able to celebrate with our friends and families on the Fourth of July. But I never have […]

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