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July 15, 2021 Original Analysis

That’s His Story and He’s Sticking to It!

Despite mounting evidence to the contrary, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stuck to his “transitory” inflation narrative during testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. That’s his story and he’s sticking to it!

July 2, 2021 Original Analysis

Fun on Friday: Happy Secession Day!

I haven’t heard; are we allowed to celebrate the Fourth of July or nah? You may recall that after Joe Biden was elected, he said if we were good little citizens and wore our masks, we might be able to celebrate with our friends and families on the Fourth of July. But I never have […]

July 2, 2021 Original Analysis

The Fed vs. the Constitution: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 2, 2021

Will the Federal Reserve tighten monetary policy to fight inflation? Or will it keep its loose monetary policy in place to support the fake recovery? The central bank has a profound influence on the economy, for better or for worse. But should the Federal Reserve even exist? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, […]

July 1, 2021 Original Analysis

Since When Is a Little Rate Hike Years From Now Hawkish?

Markets reacted strongly to what many considered “hawkish” messaging coming out of the June Federal Reserve meeting. But is the Fed really taking a “hawkish” position? Peter Schiff said the Fed was engaging in a “no stick” monetary policy. And in his Friday Gold Wrap podcast, Mike Maharrey argued the Fed was a dove in […]

June 29, 2021 Original Analysis

The Fed Is Doing a Lot of Talking But What Is It Actually Doing?

The markets have obsessed over what the Fed is saying while almost completely ignoring what it’s actually doing. After the June FOMC meeting, markets reacted to the hint that the Fed might start raising interest rates in 2023 instead of 2024. But of course, it didn’t move rates up from zero. And while the Fed […]

June 16, 2021 Original Analysis

Why Are US Treasury Bond Sales Are About to Spike?

The federal government has already run a $2.06 trillion budget deficit in fiscal 2021 with four months left to go. But somewhat surprisingly, over the last few months, the national debt hasn’t increased at nearly the pace you would expect considering the budget shortfalls. Given the level of spending, borrowing should be much higher. How has […]

June 13, 2021 Original Analysis

Thomas Jefferson vs. the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve is the engine that drives one of the biggest, most powerful governments in the history of the world. Without the Fed, it would be difficult, if not impossible, for the government to fund its foreign wars, its massive, unsustainable social programs, the ever-growing police state, and the tangled web of corporate welfare […]

June 10, 2021 Original Analysis

Chipotle Menu Price Hike Spotlights Inflation Problem

Government programs, political campaigns and wishful thinking can’t trump economics. In the end, economics always wins. Chipotle’s recently announced menu price hikes bear this out.

May 27, 2021 Original Analysis

Inflation Crashes the Party

It’s dawning on many investors that our post-Covid financial problems may not be as easily solved as Washington claims. The latest clue that trouble is brewing has come from the sudden and dramatic arrival of inflation. On May 12, it was revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) had risen 4.2% year-over-year, the fastest pace […]

May 5, 2021 Original Analysis

Janet Yellen’s Flip-Flop and What She’s Really Telling Us

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sent markets into a tizzy on Tuesday when she said interest rates may have to rise to keep the economy from overheating with all the government stimulus. But later in the day, she walked those comments back, claiming inflation isn’t going to be a problem and insisting that she wasn’t suggesting […]