Peter's Blog

Federal Budget: TTM Deficit Surges to $1.9T as Tax Revenues Collapse

The Federal Government ran a surplus last month, as it typically does in April due to the tax deadline. The surplus was $176B which was 43% lower than the surplus last April. As the chart below shows, this was driven entirely by collapsing revenues as expenses actually fell as well.

The CPI Is Two Months Away From Bottoming Before the Next Leg Up

The CPI rose in March by 0.37%, which was much larger than last month’s 0.06%. As shown below, this was driven by the energy component flipping from negative to positive. And there’s even worse news. The math is about to turn on the CPI calculation.

Gold ETFs Record Net Inflows for Second Straight Month in April

For the second straight month, gold flowed into ETFs in April. Globally, gold-backed ETFs reported net inflows of 15 tons last month, reflecting an increase of about $824 million.

April CPI: Price Inflation Looks Pretty Sticky

Great news on the inflation front! At least if you believe the headlines. For example, “Consumer Prices in April Rise at the Slowest Annual Rate in Two Years.” But if you read about one inch below the headline, you’ll discover things aren’t so great. In fact, the actual data reveals price inflation is looking pretty […]

Physical Gold Investment Up 5% in First Quarter

Physical gold investment was up by 5% year-on-year in the first quarter. Investors bought 302 tons of gold bars and gold coins in Q1 with a value of $18.4 billion. This was 14% above the 5-year average, according to the World Gold Council.

Peter Schiff: This Is an Inflation Tsunami

Peter Schiff recently appeared on Real America with Dan Ball to talk about the ongoing banking and financial crisis. Peter emphasized that the Federal Reserve and the US government are trying to fix a problem that they caused. And their cure is going to unleash an inflation tsunami.

Credit Card Debt Surges Again in March Despite High Interest Rates

After pulling back slightly in February, Americans went back to borrowing on credit cards in March — despite record-high interest rates. This indicates that consumers continue to struggle to make ends meet in this deteriorating economy. It also reveals that the Fed’s monetary tightening is not cooling spending as promised.

Peter Schiff: The US Is in a Financial Crisis Worse than ’08

During his post-FOMC meeting press conference, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell insisted that the US banking system is resilient and sound. He said this despite the failure of First Republic Bank just days before the Fed meeting. Peter Schiff appeared on the Claman Countdown on Fox News and argued that Powell and others are wrong. […]

Central Bank Gold Buying Sets First Quarter Record

After a record-setting 2022, central banks continued to buy gold in the first quarter of 2023, setting a new Q1 record. Overall, global central bank gold reserves increased by 228 tons through the first three months of 2023. This was 38% higher than the previous first-quarter record set in 2013.

US Debt Analysis: Net Interest to Exceed $700B by November

While the US government is not currently adding to the national debt due to being up against the debt ceiling, it is working overtime trying to keep the government afloat. Significantly, the interest on the national debt is skyrocketing even with the temporary lull in borrowing.