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March 15, 2023 Original Analysis

February CPI: Six Percent Is Bigger Than Two Percent

The annual rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February came in at 6%. This was down from the 6.4% annual increase charted in January. The eighth straight monthly decline in CPI seems to have restored faith that the Federal Reserve is winning the inflation fight. But everybody should probably stop and remember that […]

March 15, 2023 Interviews

Peter Schiff: The Latest Bank Bailout Is Another Nail in Capitalism’s Coffin

On June 14, 2022, Peter Schiff appeared on Ingraham Angle, and he said, “Thanks to the Federal Reserve, everybody has so much debt that we can’t afford to pay an interest rate high enough to fight inflation. But it is going to be high enough to cause a massive recession and another financial crisis that’s […]

March 14, 2023 Exploring Finance

Falling Energy Prices Disguise a Relatively Hot CPI

The CPI came in at 0.37% for the month of February. While this was in line with expectations, it is still a 4.5% annualized increase in prices. And falling energy prices made the CPI look cooler than it actually was.

March 14, 2023 Key Gold Headlines

The Exploding Budget Deficit Is Another Big Problem for the Federal Reserve

February has historically been a big budget deficit month, but the Biden administration still managed to overachieve and run the second-largest February deficit ever. The only time the US government has run a February deficit bigger than the $262.4 billion shortfall last month was in February 2021 in the midst of the COVID stimulus. This […]

March 14, 2023 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: The 2023 Financial Crisis Has Begun!

As we start to sort through the fallout of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and the government’s reaction to it, the next question is: what’s next? Government officials and mainstream pundits insist everything is fine now. They say quick government action averted a crisis. But in his podcast, Peter Schiff said […]

March 13, 2023 Exploring Finance

And Then Something Broke…

Over the past several months, Mike Maharrey and I have posted numerous articles that conclude the same way… the Fed is bluffing and when something breaks, they will fold. On every podcast, Mike has walked through exactly why this is inevitable. Back in September, I laid out the math that showed why the Fed would fold and laid […]

March 13, 2023 Exploring Finance

Treasury Prints Second Largest February Budget Deficit Ever

The Federal Government ran a deficit of -$262B in February. Ignoring the Student Loan forgiveness allocation in September last year, this is the largest monthly budget deficit since July 2021. And it’s the second-largest February deficit ever.

March 13, 2023 Original Analysis

If You Can’t Hold It, It’s Not Really Yours

The failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank reminds us of a very important truth — if you can’t hold it in your hand, you don’t really own it. That’s why it’s wise to hold at least some of your wealth in hard assets like gold and silver that are in your direct possession […]

March 13, 2023 Original Analysis

Federal Reserve Launches Program to Bail Out Banks

In the wake of two bank failures, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury announced a bank bailout program. Last week, Silicon Valley Bank was shuttered by federal authorities after the bank suffered significant losses selling bonds in order to raise capital. When that news hit, depositors rushed to pull funds from the bank, making […]

March 11, 2023 Exploring Finance

Household Survey is 40% Below Headline Number

As discussed last month, it is getting harder to take all the BLS employment data as fact. This month, some of the data is a bit closer in line, but the QECW report seemed to show a big deviation (more below).