Peter's Blog

BOJ Flags Trade-War Headwinds, Hints at Rate Hikes

Japan’s central bankers are juggling a stubbornly hot CPI, cooling exports, and a fresh volley of U.S. tariffs—all while investors pile into gold. In its July 30th-31st policy meeting, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) conceded the economy “has recovered moderately,” yet warned that escalating trade friction is set to sap growth “in the near term.” […]

Why the CBO Can’t Warn About an Inflation-Driven Debt Crisis

Longtime followers of infeneo (and its associated InFi podcast) know that I am no friend of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). My chief complaint is that their ostensibly unorthodox ways of viewing government finance are incredibly misleading, at least in the hands of some of their most popular gurus. In today’s post I’ll give yet another example, this one coming from […]

How Inflation Nearly Undermined the American Revolution

Inflation isn’t a new problem. In fact, it has plagued this country since its founding. Even though the American Revolution– and its monetary soundness– are worth celebrating, its lesser-known history reveals how war and inflation go hand-in-hand.

June Inflation Higher Than Expected, Driven by Shelter

Spring’s brief lull in price pressure has faded. At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that headline CPI rose 0.3 percent in June and 2.7 percent year over year, up from May’s 2.4 percent pace and higher than the 2.6% consensus forecast. Core CPI—excluding food and energy—advanced 0.2 percent on the month […]

Get Ready for Big, Beautiful Inflation

As is the case with many new regulations, the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) had the opposite effect as what was implied by its name. President Trump campaigned on reducing inflation and bringing down prices.

Japan’s Inflation Problem Is Cornering Its Central Bank

As the west muddles through murky economic waters, many call on the Federal Reserve to hold off a recession. But, as our neighbors to the east show us, central banks are highly constrained in what they can actually accomplish, and more inflation isn’t the right move.

Long Term Inflation Fears Simmer at 4%

Consumers may be breathing a small sigh of relief, but they’re hardly celebrating. The University of Michigan’s latest “Current versus Pre-Pandemic Long-Run Inflation Expectations” update, released Friday, shows the median expectation for inflation over the next 5 years dipping to 4.0 % in June after topping out at 4.4 % in April. While that is […]

The Fed Can No Longer Ignore Stubborn Inflation

Last week’s inflation data confirms what many economists have been saying for months: the Fed’s inflation target is not achievable anytime soon. In fact, many economic signals suggest the opposite: inflation is here to stay, and even the Fed realizes it.

The Global Gold Rush: Russia and China’s Shortages Add to Economic Anxiety

Mounting economic uncertainties and persistent inflation are sending shockwaves through the global market, triggering a surge in demand for precious metals. As investors are seeking a safe haven, gold and silver are experiencing skyrocketing demand, leading to significant shifts in national reserves and logistical challenges in the precious metals market. 

Peter Schiff: Trump Should Emulate Washington

On Sunday, Peter revived his Sunday night podcast habit for a special President’s Day themed episode. In it he reflects on the character of George Washington and how far the country’s economic health has fallen since the founding of our country. President Trump can follow Washington’s example if he wants to get the country back […]