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Have We Seen the Last Fed Rate Hike of This Cycle?
As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) put rate hikes on pause at the June meeting, although it indicated we should expect additional hikes before the end of the year. The question is how long will the pause last and will the next Fed move actually be a rate cut?

The Inflation Tax Is Eating Your Lunch
How much is the inflation tax costing you? Based on calculations by public finance economist EJ Antoni, around $7,200 since January 2021 for the average family.

At Its Core Price Inflation Still Running Hot
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by the smallest annual amount in more than two years in May. This means the inflation fight is over and inflation lost, right? Not so fast.

Big May Shortfall Pushes 2023 Budget Deficit Well Over $1 Trillion
Congress “solved” the debt ceiling problem by effectively eliminating borrowing limits for the next two years. But it did nothing to address the underlying problem. And that underlying problem is painfully obvious when you look at the monthly budget deficits the federal government continues to run month after month. In May, the Biden administration piled […]

High Interest Rates Not Stopping Americans from Running Up More and More Debt
Despite the high interest environment intended to slow down borrowing, American consumers continue to run deeper and deeper into debt as they cope with sticky inflation. Consumer credit spiked by another $20 billion in April, a 5.7% increase year on year, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve.

A Surging National Debt Is Bullish for Gold
The debt ceiling drama ended with fake budget cuts and a shiny new credit card with no limit for the federal government. We can now expect a big surge in the national debt as the US government plays catch up after nearly six months up against its borrowing limit. So, how might this impact the […]

I Told Ya So! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap June 9, 2023
In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey engages in a little “I told you so!” discussing a couple of things he got right, including his assertion that the real problems would start after the debt ceiling deal and that it was important to keep your eye on the commercial real estate […]

National Debt Surges By Over $350 Billion in One Day After Debt Ceiling Deal
I warned you. I said when the fake debt ceiling fight ended, the real problems would begin. Well, the debt ceiling fight is over, and here we are. On the first working day after the so-called Fiscal Responsibility Act went into effect, the national debt surged by $359 billion.

World Bank: Global Economic Growth Expected to Slow to 2008 Levels
Most people in the mainstream concede that the economy is heading for a recession, but the consensus seems to be that downturn will be short and shallow. Projections by the World Bank undercut that optimism. According to the World Bank, global growth in 2023 will slow to the lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis.

What Central Banks Giveth They Taketh Away; Wave of Corporate Defaults on the Horizon
With a debt ceiling deal done, the threat of a US government default is off the table for the time being. But a wave of corporate defaults is on the horizon according to Deutsche Bank’s annual default study. This is the inevitable consequence of central bank monetary policy and it was entirely predictable.