Peter's Blog

Peter Schiff: A Bear Market Rally and the Supreme Court Trumps Biden

June continued a stock market rally that produced big gains through the first half of the year. But what exactly is driving this rally and is it really justified by the economic fundamentals? Peter breaks it down in a recent podcast and concludes that this is likely a bear market rally.

Things Happen Slowly and Then All at Once: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Podcast June 30, 2023

There was a lot of economic data this month that seems to signal a strong economy. Does it though? Is everything really fine? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey digs deeper into the data and reveals a less sanguine reality. He also explains the inner workings of the spot price […]

Economic Data Isn’t as Strong as the Headlines Claim

A lot of the economic data this month looks strong. But when you dig a little deeper, you find that this “strength” is an illusion. Following is a breakdown of several of these data points with some help from our friends at Passant Gardant.

What’s Going on With the Fed Balance Sheet?

We tend to focus a lot on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, while the central bank’s balance sheet stays in the background. But the balance sheet arguably has more impact on the economy over the long run. Since the Fed began hiking interest rates in March 2022, it has also shrunk the balance sheet. […]

All You Do to Me Is Talk Talk: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap June 23, 2023

Fed Chair Jerome Powell went to Capitol Hill this week and talked. His open-mouth operations dominated the financial news and drove gold lower. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey digs into Powell’s comments, reads between the lines, and points out a couple of things Powell got completely wrong. He also […]

Jerome Powell’s Open-Mouth Operations

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday (June 21). The Fed chief engaged in some more open-mouth operations, trying to guide monetary policy with words instead of actions. To understand a few things he said, you have to read between the lines. Oh, and he also got at […]

The National Debt Is a Ticking Time Bomb

Last week, the national debt pushed above $32 trillion. This is a ticking time bomb that will eventually explode.

Government Job Numbers Make No Sense

Every month, we get government job reports that tell us the labor market is booming. Then we get an avalanche of mainstream headlines telling us that this is a sign the economy is just fine. But these government job numbers simply don’t make sense.

Have We Seen the Last Fed Rate Hike of This Cycle?

As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) put rate hikes on pause at the June meeting, although it indicated we should expect additional hikes before the end of the year. The question is how long will the pause last and will the next Fed move actually be a rate cut?

The Inflation Tax Is Eating Your Lunch

How much is the inflation tax costing you? Based on calculations by public finance economist EJ Antoni, around $7,200 since January 2021 for the average family.