Peter's Blog

Jobs: The Economy Only Added 28k jobs from Jan-Jun

Note: This includes the Jobs report for November that was released on December 16th and the QCEW Report released on Dec 19th The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]

Fed Trims Rates Again—Gold Vaults Past $4,200 Anyway

In a hotly-anticipated announcement, the Federal Open Market Committee shaved its federal-funds target by another quarter point on December 10th, setting the range at 3.50 – 3.75 percent. Fed officials insist the U.S. economy is still expanding at a “moderate pace,” yet the same statement concedes that job gains have cooled and unemployment inched higher […]

Why the Government Isn’t Educating Productivity

President Trump recently classified a certain group of graduate degrees as non-professional degrees. This decision lowered the limit for Federal student loans for these programs. Whether one perceives this as a helpful reduction of spending or a political slight against social sciences, this example shows the government rationale regarding education. Education’s value is often evaluated […]

What Will Black Friday 2025 Tell Us About American Consumers?

Black Friday, the ultimate consumer holiday, has lost some of its luster in recent years as Americans become increasingly indebted, cash-strapped, and hamstrung by high inflation. Known as an all-out buying bonanza where shoppers flood retailers for deals on everything from TVs and toys to kitchen utensils, this year all signs point to a muted […]

Fed Governor Williams: “We’ll Have Inflation Under Control in 2027”

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams flew to Santiago this week to deliver a talk—fittingly titled “Navigating Unpredictable Terrain”—at the Central Bank of Chile’s centennial bash. While gold bulls were busy bidding the metal to a fresh high of $4,098 per ounce on Friday, Williams told the audience he still sees U.S. […]

Jobs: Every Month in 2025 has Been Revised Down with Two Turning Negative

Note: This is the Jobs report for September that was released late on November 20th. There will be no October jobs report The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]

Fed Governor Waller Calls for More Easing as Inflation Persists  

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller told the Society of Professional Economists in London Monday night that he backs another 25-basis-point cut at the December FOMC meeting, calling the move “additional insurance” against a slowing labor market. His speech, delivered barely a month after a 43-day U.S. government shutdown halted many official releases, leaned heavily on […]

Mamdani’s Victory and the Myth of Democratic Socialism’s Rise

With the election of Zohran Mamdani as New York’s Mayor, last week’s election may have marked the start of a new socialist political era. As unfortunate as his success is for New York, his supporters will eventually face the same disappointment that all socialists do once they collide head-on with economic reality. The following article […]

Peter Schiff: The Economy is Ice Cold

Peter opens this episode by walking listeners through what he sees as two diverging monetary stories: gold’s quiet march higher after a period of consolidation, and Bitcoin’s fragile plumbing that could amplify losses when the market turns. He frames these trends as a test of sound money versus speculative credit structures, and he ties the […]

World Gold Council: ETF Tsunami Lifts U.S. Gold Demand 58% 

Gold’s third-quarter scorecard shows a tale of two markets. Overall U.S. demand leapt 58% year-over-year to 186 metric tons, the largest Q3 tonnage in more than a decade. Yet traditional consumer demand—jewellery plus bar & coin—actually shrank by a third to just 32 t. The gap was filled almost entirely by institutional money flooding into […]