Peter's Blog

13-Week Money Supply Growth Continues to Decelerate

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Schiff on Young & Profiting: Inflation, Taxes, and the Case for Real Money

On a recent appearance on the Young & Profiting podcast, Peter Schiff joins host Hala Taha to explain why today’s economic challenges—from rising income inequality to persistent inflation—trace back to misguided monetary policy and unsustainable government spending. Peter lays out his case against the conventional wisdom of redistribution, critiques the current tax system, and calls […]

Gold Reaches $3,000 for the First Time in History

On March 17th, history was made in the commodity that has been used as a unit for exchange for millennia. In 2005, gold was a mere $500 per ounce. Now, twenty years later, gold is up 600% to $3000 per ounce. This growth outperformed both the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 over that timespan, even […]

Peter Schiff: The Smart Money Wants Gold

On Friday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter picks up where he last left off– President Trump’s wild trade policy. He touches on everything from tariff threats and the Fed’s inability to combat stagflation, to the dubious nature of job data and the absurdity of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund—all while warning investors about […]

Will Trump Tariffs Kill Commercial Real Estate?

Will the Trump administration’s proposed tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian imports could send shockwaves through the already vulnerable U.S. commercial real estate market? With a 10% tariff on goods from China and 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, the additional cost will be passed along to the US builder and consumer — […]

Peter Schiff: The Data Says Stagflation

On Friday Peter capped off the week by discussing the latest round of troubling data. With the nonfarm payroll report coming in far below expectations, Peter elaborates on the predicament the Fed is in. With mounting political pressure and an election in mere days, how will the Fed possibly manage both inflation and a stagnating […]

The Model Behind the Madness

Central banks typically make decisions based upon the NK (New Keynesian) model. Its goal is to provide a framework to understand how interest rate decisions end up affecting the various measures of an economy’s performance. It differs primarily from the RBC and Neoclassical models in that it includes the real short term effects of monetary […]

After Halloween, the Economy Could Get Spooky

The presidential election is on November 5th, and radical economic promises abound. The very next day, the Fed will meet to decide on more interest rate cuts. Gold and silver are holding all-time highs. With all these factors and more, after Halloween, we will see just how spooky things can get for the US economy.

Schiff with Burack: Even 2008 is Preferable to 2024 

Last Tuesday, Jason Burack, host of “Wall St for Main St,” interviewed Peter. They cover the state of gold and silver markets, the similarities between 2024 and 2008, and the flaws with government data. Peter also predicts a return to QE-style Fed policy in the near future. 

Jobs: Downward Revisions and Weak Numbers Everywhere

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.