Peter's Blog

The Fed Balance Sheet Increases by $31B in June

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Americans Are Spending More, but Their Savings Are Quietly Disappearing

May’s economic data tells a story that sounds good on the surface but gets more complicated the closer you look. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report Friday showing personal income climbed 0.7 percent last month, adding $181.6 billion, with disposable income rising by that same margin. Americans didn’t sit on that extra […]

Fed Talks Tough But Money Supply Explodes Higher

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

The Return of Easy Money Is Fueling Higher Prices

The latest figures show the money supply growing at its fastest pace in over four years, with consumer prices climbing right alongside it. Yet the Federal Reserve continues to insist its policy stance is at least moderately restrictive, even as real wages fall further behind inflation. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

Fed Projects Stickier Inflation; Gold Touches $4,365

On June 17th, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its federal-funds-rate target at 3.50–3.75 percent, repeating its wait-and-see stance even as headline inflation refuses to retreat to the central bank’s two-percent objective. In a unanimous 12–0 vote, policymakers argued that U.S. growth “is expanding at a solid pace” and promised, in their words, “The […]

Peter Schiff: Inflation Beat the Fed

On Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter walks listeners through the fiscal and monetary forces that make inflation all but inevitable. He ties together soaring debt service, a bubble-driven stock market, wartime spending, and misguided corporate Bitcoin bets to argue that sound money and precious metals are the sensible hedge right now. He […]

Why Warsh Wants to Ignore Inflation’s Real Cost

As Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed chair, his stated preference for narrower, trimmed inflation measures is drawing scrutiny, and for good reason. Though it is technically correct that government-driven price hikes from wars, lockdowns, and years of interventionist policy are not “inflation” in the strict monetary sense, Warsh’s push to exclude them from the […]

Inflation Pops to 4.2%, Energy Fuels Surge 

Inflation’s embers flared again in May, dashing hopes that last year’s price scare was fading. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.5 percent for the month, lifting the headline rate to 4.2 percent year-over-year and marking a second straight acceleration. Energy was the chief culprit, and the renewed heat pushed safe-haven […]

As Inflation Keeps Rising, Americans Have No Savings

American households are plummeting to razor-thin financial margins as the personal savings rate falls to numbers last seen before COVID.  Personal savings fell from around 4.3% of disposable income in January to just over 2.5% in April, all as the cost of living continues to climb. Americans are drawing down reserves to cover groceries, housing, […]

Peter Schiff: Inflation Comes From Washington

In Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter connects the dots between Washington’s fiscal choices, Federal Reserve policy, and the asset bubbles those choices create. He covers inflation’s true drivers, the hidden costs of today’s tech buildout, why Bitcoin is vulnerable, and why gold and silver remain the prudent hedge for savers. He closes […]