Peter's Blog

The odds are set at 94% that the federal reserve will cut rates following the September 17th meeting. Trump has pressured Powell for this for months, and if the Wednesday meeting confirms these rate cuts, it will be a historic step for the Fed. Never before has Executive Branch’s control of money been seen so […]

The Bureau of Labor Statistics dropped a quiet bombshell on September 9, unveiling a preliminary benchmark revision that erased 911,000 jobs from March 2025 payroll tallies. The 0.6% markdown is roughly triple the average adjustment of the past decade and instantly casts doubt on months of breezy “resilient labor market” headlines. Almost the entire shortfall […]

On Monday’s episode of the Commodity Culture podcast, Peter joins host Jesse Day and walks listeners through what he sees as a pivotal moment for precious metals and for the dollar. He argues that gold quietly began a new leg of its bull market in 2024, that the labor market is weaker than officials admit, […]

According to a report from the World Gold Council, global investors poured another US$5.5 billion into physically backed gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) during August, extending a three-month buying streak and pushing total assets under management (AUM) to a record US$407 billion. Holdings climbed by 53 tonnes to 3,692 tonnes—the highest month-end tally since mid-2022—even as […]

On his latest podcast, Peter takes aim at a string of recent policy choices that are undermining the dollar, inflating asset bubbles, and exposing taxpayers to risk. He walks through the latest jobs data, the anomaly of easing into an inflationary cycle, the privatization of profits at the expense of public losses, and the constitutional […]

Gold hit a fresh record high in the wake of Jerome Powell’s dovish comments that the Fed will consider cutting interest rates at its upcoming September FOMC meeting. As the Fed is forced into accommodative policy and possibly even eventual QE, get ready for even more record highs for the yellow metal. But just don’t […]

With recent economic data pointing to an uncertain economic future, M2, a primary measure of the money supply, shows a flattening in the supply of money. But, as more precise measures of money show us, this trend may indicate a latent recession in the dollar-fueled economy. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

On Sunday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter walks through a recent appellate court ruling on President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs and ties that legal news to broader themes: political incentives around taxation, the fragility of budget narratives that rely on tariff revenue, the danger of politicizing the Federal Reserve, and why fiat-driven policies make […]

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J. Waller used a Thursday night speech at the Economic Club of Miami to press, yet again, for easier money. Declaring that “the time has come to ease monetary policy and move it to a more neutral stance,” the long-time dove said he would have cut rates in July and plans […]

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.  Breaking Down the Balance Sheet  In March, the Fed announced a further reduction in the balance sheet runoff from $25B a month to […]