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Recent market turmoil has signaled a coming recession, and both sides of Washington, D.C. are already spinning narratives to blame their political enemies for the business cycle. As the economy shifts into recovery mode, remember that the establishment has no interest in actually addressing monetary expansion, the true cause of recessions.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.
The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.
On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes us through this week’s turbulence in the stock and crypto markets. As new trade wars, a Bitcoin crash, and growing deficits signal stagflation, the only asset safe from the turmoil appears to be gold.
Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.
On Sunday’s podcast, Peter recaps the economic excitement from the tail of last week and the weekend. He starts by analyzing the market’s downturn from Friday and then proceeds to cover more government waste, global interest rates, and the Fed’s policy path moving forward into 2025. He concludes by discussing the legacy of his late […]
A recent piece in the New York Times encouraged readers to buy gold, noting its record-breaking run since 2020. However, what the article gets wrong is associating the phenomenon with presidential policies instead of central bank monetary policy. Treasury policies can contribute to money supply growth by issuing debt, and presidential policies can add fuel […]
In his latest podcast from Wednesday night, Peter addresses the renewed buzz surrounding Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Peter argues that no matter how many cuts are made, the government’s nature ensures that fraud and abuse will persist. Without market forces exerting pressure on bureaucrats, the state has to reason to spend and […]
This week Peter appeared on the Palisades Gold Radio YouTube channel for an interview with host Tom Bodrovics. The duo cover a variety of topics, ranging from the definition of inflation and modern equity markets to economic developments in China and disruptions in the yen carry trade. For more of Peter’s analysis, check out his […]
With trade wars popping in and out of headlines during the Trump presidency, there are no guarantees when it comes to foreign exchange. As tariffs, bailouts, and central banks all affect exchange rates, it’s worth revisiting what causes the international economy to demand the almighty US dollar.
Elon Musk’s newly established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has ignited fresh calls to verify the United States’ gold reserves, spotlighting a longstanding concern about government openness. Official estimates place America’s bullion at roughly 147.3 million ounces—worth nearly $300 billion at current valuations—safely housed at Fort Knox. However, no outside audit of these reserves has […]
