Peter's Blog

The Fed Drops QT to $5B a Month – Ensuring the Balance Sheet Will Stay Bloated

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

Blueprint for Dismantling the Fed

Austrian economists agree that the Fed drives both inflation and the business cycle and is accordingly responsible for the Great Recession and our current economy. Given the Fed’s current policy path and America’s political climate, what’s the best way to end the Fed?

Consumer Confidence Plunges as Recession Signs Multiply

U.S. consumer confidence suffered a sharp blow yesterday, plummeting 7.2 points to 92.9, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Alarmingly, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ short-term outlook on the economy, tumbled to 65.2—its lowest level in 12 years—breaking well below the critical 80-point threshold that traditionally signals an […]

Schiff on Fox Business: Real Inflation isn’t Stopping

Last week Peter appeared on Fox Business with Liz Claman and co-panelist Scott Sperling to react to last week’s FOMC decision to hold rates steady. Peter, Liz, and Scott discuss Jerome Powell’s remarks from the decision, recent movement in gold and the equity market, and how economic growth may be able to offset some of […]

Unmasking the True Culprit Behind the Next Recession

Recent market turmoil has signaled a coming recession, and both sides of Washington, D.C. are already spinning narratives to blame their political enemies for the business cycle. As the economy shifts into recovery mode, remember that the establishment has no interest in actually addressing monetary expansion, the true cause of recessions.

Bessent is Right: The Economy Needs a Detox

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.

The Fed Continues With QT, and Winds Down Emergency Measures

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

Peter Schiff: Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes us through this week’s turbulence in the stock and crypto markets. As new trade wars, a Bitcoin crash, and growing deficits signal stagflation, the only asset safe from the turmoil appears to be gold.

Has Slowing Money Supply Growth Led to a Directionless Stock Market?

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Peter Schiff: The Markets See Stagflation

On Sunday’s podcast, Peter recaps the economic excitement from the tail of last week and the weekend. He starts by analyzing the market’s downturn from Friday and then proceeds to cover more government waste, global interest rates, and the Fed’s policy path moving forward into 2025. He concludes by discussing the legacy of his late […]