Peter's Blog

What Can Mortgage Refi Applications Tell You About the Economy? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap 06.01.18

The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week’s precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes.

Monkeys Are Better at Predicting Markets than Mainstream Pundits

Investors spend a lot of time mulling over predictions and prognostications made by various mainstream analysts, economists and talking heads on TV news shows. As it turns out, you might be better off listening to monkeys. As Jim Rickards put it, financial news TV is one big “prediction engine.” CNBC features as many as 120 […]

St. Louis Fed President Comes Up With Another Excuse to Stop Raising Interest Rates

It looks like the Federal Reserve may have another excuse to slow or even stop hiking interest rates if it so desires. According to the conventional wisdom, the Federal Reserve is in the process of “normalizing” interest rates and will continue to push rates up into the foreseeable future. But could the Fed be close to […]

A Debt Spiral: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap 05.25.18

The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week’s precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes.

Peter Schiff: Look Out for the Mother of All Busts

The US economy is now technically in the second-longest recovery in history. If it continues another 14 months, it will eclipse the longest recovery, which took place in the 1990s. As Peter Schiff pointed out in his latest podcast, the Federal Reserve pulled out all the stops in the 1990s to keep the recovery going. […]

“Bond King” Not Bullish on US Government Bonds; He’s Looking at Gold

He’s been dubbed the “Bond King,” but Jeffery Gundlach isn’t particularly bullish on bonds right now – at least not US government bonds. And he’s certainly not bullish on stocks. Gundlach has his eyes on gold. Gundlach heads DoubleLine Capital, overseeing some $119 billion in assets. During a speech at the 2018 Sohn Investment Conference last week, he said […]

Could Rising Interest Rates Crush Stock Market Dreams? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap 04.27.18

The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week’s precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes.

Is a Zombie (Company) Apocalypse Upon Us?

Rising interest rates could unleash a zombie company apocalypse – if the Fed lets it happen. Corporate bankruptcy levels in the US hit seven-year highs last month. New Chapter 11 bankruptcies surged 63% year-over-year in March. All-told 770 companies filed for Chapter 11 protection last month. That is the highest level since April 2011.

Fed’s Underlying Inflation Measure Close to 12-Year High

Inflation is low – so we’re told. But this simply isn’t true. Now, it is true that the consumer price index (CPI) has remained relatively low. But rising prices aren’t in-and-of themselves inflation. In fact, we can have inflation without a corresponding rise in CPI – at least in the short-term. That’s exactly what we’ve […]

Peter Schiff: The Fed Is Like Mr. Magoo

Last week, Peter Schiff said we may well be in the calm before the economic storm. In his latest podcast, he said the storm may be on the horizon. But most people are still oblivious, including the Federal Reserve.