Peter's Blog

Gold and Silver: Fundamentally Strong but Technically Stretched

Technical Analysis of Gold and Silver This analysis attempts to look at different metrics to understand the current momentum in the gold and silver markets. It is meant as an analysis on potential price direction in the very short-term (a few weeks to 1-2 months). The last two technical analysis pieces have been spot on. […]

Two Truths and a Lie From Trump’s 2025 Macro Policy

Trump’s tariff regime has led to an extremely unique economic situation. While inflation for some goods is high, many other goods have little inflation, and new job creation is lagging. Any Keynesian economist could weasel their way around this, but it gives compelling evidence against the assumptions of their most revered models. The Phillips curve […]

Peter Schiff: The Fed Welcomes QE Back

On Thursday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter walks through the Federal Reserve’s stealthy pivot on monetary policy and explains why that move matters more for inflation and markets than talk of tariffs. He also highlights how precious metals — particularly silver and mining stocks — are leading this leg of the bull market, […]

Money Supply Surges to 3-Year High as Fed Quietly Eases Policy

With the market betting on a rate cut at this week’s FOMC meeting, many are hoping for another few months of easy monetary policy. Money supply growth data, however, shows how monetary policy is already too free, and the money supply is already growing too much. The following article  was originally published by the Mises […]

Fed Trims Rates Again—Gold Vaults Past $4,200 Anyway

In a hotly-anticipated announcement, the Federal Open Market Committee shaved its federal-funds target by another quarter point on December 10th, setting the range at 3.50 – 3.75 percent. Fed officials insist the U.S. economy is still expanding at a “moderate pace,” yet the same statement concedes that job gains have cooled and unemployment inched higher […]

Monetary Tyranny: How Legal Tender Laws Built the Fiat Empire – and How Free Competition Can End It

One way that inflation-prone fiat currency took over the monetary system was legal tender laws, which obligate private citizens to accept currencies like the dollar even when they don’t want to. Without these policies, weak and eroding currencies would fall to the wayside, and more stable currencies would replace them. The following article was originally […]

ADP Numbers: Private Sector Dumps Over 30K Jobs

U.S. private-sector hiring slipped into negative territory last month, according to the November ADP National Employment Report released December 3rd. Payrolls fell by 32,000 positions—an abrupt reversal that economists say underscores gathering economic headwinds and a wary consumer. Small businesses were the hardest hit, shedding 120,000 jobs, while the spot price of gold briefly punched […]

Fed Governor Bowman Tries to Reassure House Committee

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman assured House lawmakers on December 2nd that the “Federal Reserve” “banking system remains sound and resilient,” citing robust capital ratios, ample liquidity, and falling non-performing loans. Testifying before the House Committee on Financial Services, she painted a largely upbeat picture of traditional banks even as gold prices—often […]

What Will Black Friday 2025 Tell Us About American Consumers?

Black Friday, the ultimate consumer holiday, has lost some of its luster in recent years as Americans become increasingly indebted, cash-strapped, and hamstrung by high inflation. Known as an all-out buying bonanza where shoppers flood retailers for deals on everything from TVs and toys to kitchen utensils, this year all signs point to a muted […]

Fed Ends QT with a Balance Sheet 75% Higher than Pre-Covid

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet The Fed has decided to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st. In late 2019, the Fed balance […]