Peter's Blog

John Hussman: This Stock Market Bubble Will End in Tears

John Hussman predicted the 2000 and 2008 stock market crashes. Now he’s saying the current stock market bubble will “end in tears.” In a recent note, the Hussman Trust president said the S&P 500 needs to plunge 64% in order to “restore run-of-the-mill long-term prospective returns.”

Number of US Corporate Defaults Already Bigger Than Last Year

The number of corporate debt defaults in 2023 has already exceeded the total number of defaults last year. According to data from Moody Investment Services, 55 American-based companies defaulted on loans through the first half of 2023. That was a 53% increase over the total number of defaults in 2022.

Reclaiming the Definition of Inflation

People are confused about the definition of inflation. And because they don’t really know what inflation is, they can’t grasp what’s causing it. Or how to fix it. That’s why it’s imperative that we reclaim the meaning of inflation.

Fissures in the Economy: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 21, 2023

Janet Yellen recently said she doesn’t think the US economy will slip into a recession. Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey explains why he doesn’t think we should put a lot of stock on Janet’s prognostications, and he goes on to point out some major fissures in the economy and financial system that are opening […]

Massive Bank of America Paper Losses Underscore Problems in the Banking System

Four months after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the financial crisis sparked by Federal Reserve rate hikes continues to simmer under the surface. As of the end of the first quarter, Bank of America had over $100 billion in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. This is the exact problem that […]

Shrinkflation: You’re Paying More and Getting Less

We are all keenly aware of price inflation. We notice those rising prices every time we go into a store. But the inflation boogeyman is hitting you even harder than you realize. Not only are you paying more for pretty much everything you buy, you’re getting less. Literally. It’s called shrinkflation.

Better Get Ready; Central Bank Digital Currency Is Coming

You had better get ready for the world of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) because they are coming. And they are coming fast. According to a recent survey by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), as many as 24 CBDCs could be in circulation by 2030.

Peter Schiff: Dollar Decline Means Lower Inflation Is Transitory

With the June CPI report coming in even cooler than expected, the mainstream perspective seems to be that the Federal Reserve is winning the inflation fight. But in his podcast, Peter Schiff explains why the dollar is telling a different story.

Fiscal 2023 Budget Deficit Already Higher Than Last Year’s Total With Three Months to Go

With three months left, the fiscal 2023 budget deficit has already eclipsed the massive 2022 shortfall. The US government ran a $227.77 billion deficit in June, pushing the total fiscal 2023 shortfall to $1.393 trillion, according to the Monthly Treasury Statement for June.

Jim Grant: Rivets Are Popping in the Economy

Can the Federal Reserve navigate a narrow path and slay price inflation while steering the economy to a soft landing? During an interview on CNBC Squawk Box, financial analyst Jim Grant expressed his doubts. He compared Jerome Powell’s task to Captain Chelsey Sullenberger’s when he was forced to land a US Airways plane on the […]