Peter's Blog

Goods Deficit Approaches $100 Billion

November 2021 charted a total trade deficit of -$80.2B just shy of the record -$81.4B in September. However, the data this month is far more concerning when digging into the details. After a massive surge in the trade deficit occurred in September, October saw a big pullback to -$67.1B. The details showed that the volatility was […]

Hedge Funds Increase Net Longs 180% in Gold and 726% in Silver During October

Hedge funds closed shorts and went long in both gold and silver in October. Please note: the COTs report was published 10/29/2021 for the period ending 10/26/2021. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders analysis last month highlighted the potential over-extension of the shorts leading to a rebound. This proved to […]

Stagflation Warning: Atlanta Fed GDP Estimate at 0.5%

As governments shut down the economy in response to COVID-19 and the Federal Reserve put money printing into hyperdrive, we warned that it was a recipe for stagflation. Today, it looks like stagnation is here. Stagflation is an economic environment with rapidly rising prices, a weak labor market, and low GDP growth. It’s looking more […]

Fake Economic Growth and Stealthy Government Default

Inflation continues to run rampant and it’s distorting the entire economy. Rising prices create the illusion of economic growth. And they are also allowing the US government to stealthily default on its massive debt. This is not a sign of a strong economy.

Does the Big GDP Miss Signal Looming Stagflation?

GDP for the second quarter disappointed, coming in at an annualized rate of 6.5%. Is this a sign of impending stagflation? While 6.5% growth looks good on the surface, economists polled by the Wall Street Journal expected annualized GDP to chart around 9.1%. This was a huge miss and indicates the economy isn’t growing nearly […]

This Economy Is Jacked Up! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap April 20, 2021

There was a lot of news and economic data that came out this week. The Fed held its April meeting. President Biden unveiled yet another tax and spend plan. And the Q1 GDP numbers came out. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey gives an overview of the week’s news and […]

GDP Numbers Can Hide Real Economic Damage

According to the mainstream narrative, the US economy is quickly recovering from the downturn caused by lockdowns in response to COVID-19. And while the downturn was sharp and painful, it really didn’t cause any long-term economic damage. Good times are ahead! After all, just look at the booming GDP numbers. And therein lies a problem. […]

GDP Reality Check: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Oct. 30, 2020

Gold and silver have had a tough week. So have stocks. In a lot of ways, it looked like March all over again, with worries about increasing COVID-19 cases and new lockdowns.  But then we got the Q3 GDP number and that injected a dose of optimism. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap […]

Tale of Two Cities: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap May 1

US stock markets just had their best month since 1987. Meanwhile, the economic data is as bad as it’s ever been. It’s almost like a tale of two cities. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey digs into some of the data and explains why the damage to the economy […]

They’re All High on Fed Fairy Dust

Everybody realizes the US economy is in a bad spot. But most people still seem to believe it will bounce right back once we deal with the coronavirus. They’re all high on Federal Reserve fairy dust.