Peter's Blog

With gold prices holding firm around $4,580–$4,620/oz, the U.S. Dollar Index tumbling back below 98 (erasing its entire Iran-war safe-haven bounce), and President Trump announcing 25% tariffs on European cars and trucks starting next week, the markets are moving fast — and Peter is breaking it all down in real time. In this episode Peter […]

CPI triples to 0.9%, consumer sentiment hits an all-time low, and the Fed is quietly running QE — stagflation isn’t coming, it’s here. Gold ended the week at $4,745 with silver at $75.76 and mining stocks up 5%, all buoyed by the Taco Tuesday ceasefire that sent markets surging mid-week. Peter Schiff argues the ceasefire […]

The Trade Deficit is one of the two components of the ‘twin deficits’; the other being the federal budget deficit. The trade deficit used to be a number that received a ton of attention in the 1980s and 1990s because it was determined to be a strong gauge of the strength and weakness in the […]

On Wednesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter responds to the Federal Reserve holding–rather than hiking– rates yet again. He walks through recent producer prices, GDP, and mortgage activity data to show why these signals mean real rates are likely to turn negative again, a dynamic that favors gold and punishes the dollar. The […]

The Trade Deficit is one of the two components of the ‘twin deficits’; the other being the federal budget deficit. The trade deficit used to be a number that received a ton of attention in the 1980s and 1990s because it was determined to be a strong gauge of the strength and weakness in the […]

In Peter’s latest interview with Glenn Diesen, Peter lays out why he sees gold as the clearest signal of failed monetary and fiscal policy and why mainstream economic statistics mislead the public. He takes aim at GDP and the CPI (Consumer Price Index), warns that the Fed is primed to monetize debt again, and explains […]

The U.S. economy’s “early-warning siren” just grew louder. The Conference Board reported Monday that its Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell 0.3 percent in June to 98.8—a level not seen since 2020. The decline extends the LEI’s losing streak to 18 of the last 19 months and pushes its six-month drop to 2.8 percent. With the […]

In a new report released today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) shaved another three-tenths off first-quarter growth estimates, revealing that real U.S. GDP actually slipped 0.5 percent at an annual rate instead of inching ahead. The contraction follows a 2.4 percent gain in 2024’s closing quarter, marking the economy’s sharpest quarterly swing since the […]

On June 5th, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council announced another round of interest rate reductions, lowering key rates by 25 basis points. Starting June 11th, the deposit facility rate will fall to 2.00%, the main refinancing operations rate to 2.15%, and the marginal lending facility rate to 2.40%. This move underscores the ECB’s […]

As of last week, the Federal Reserve has basically admitted it doesn’t know what’s happening in the economy. One thing’s for sure: inflation is still a problem.