Peter's Blog

Talk Is Cheap; What Will the Fed Actually Do?

Gold had dropped by over $100 in the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the dollar rose to a 7-week high on May 17. If you’re thinking that this looks a lot like how gold and the dollar moved at the height of the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight, you’re right. That’s because the central bankers at the […]

A Big Disconnect: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Podcast May 12, 2023

The CPI data for April came out this week. The mainstream spin was that it was more good news for the Fed’s inflation fight. But the actual data tells a different story. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey talks about the CPI report and the disconnect between the mainstream narrative […]

Federal Budget: TTM Deficit Surges to $1.9T as Tax Revenues Collapse

The Federal Government ran a surplus last month, as it typically does in April due to the tax deadline. The surplus was $176B which was 43% lower than the surplus last April. As the chart below shows, this was driven entirely by collapsing revenues as expenses actually fell as well.

The CPI Is Two Months Away From Bottoming Before the Next Leg Up

The CPI rose in March by 0.37%, which was much larger than last month’s 0.06%. As shown below, this was driven by the energy component flipping from negative to positive. And there’s even worse news. The math is about to turn on the CPI calculation.

Gold ETFs Record Net Inflows for Second Straight Month in April

For the second straight month, gold flowed into ETFs in April. Globally, gold-backed ETFs reported net inflows of 15 tons last month, reflecting an increase of about $824 million.

Physical Gold Investment Up 5% in First Quarter

Physical gold investment was up by 5% year-on-year in the first quarter. Investors bought 302 tons of gold bars and gold coins in Q1 with a value of $18.4 billion. This was 14% above the 5-year average, according to the World Gold Council.

Peter Schiff: This Is an Inflation Tsunami

Peter Schiff recently appeared on Real America with Dan Ball to talk about the ongoing banking and financial crisis. Peter emphasized that the Federal Reserve and the US government are trying to fix a problem that they caused. And their cure is going to unleash an inflation tsunami.

Central Bank Gold Buying Sets First Quarter Record

After a record-setting 2022, central banks continued to buy gold in the first quarter of 2023, setting a new Q1 record. Overall, global central bank gold reserves increased by 228 tons through the first three months of 2023. This was 38% higher than the previous first-quarter record set in 2013.

US Debt Analysis: Net Interest to Exceed $700B by November

While the US government is not currently adding to the national debt due to being up against the debt ceiling, it is working overtime trying to keep the government afloat. Significantly, the interest on the national debt is skyrocketing even with the temporary lull in borrowing.

Multiple Factors Turn a Weak Employment Report Strong

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that 256k jobs were added in April with major revisions down in previous months. Meanwhile, the Household Survey reported only 139k jobs in April, the lowest amount since November last year.