Peter's Blog

Technical Analysis: Is This Capitulation?

The price analysis two months ago concluded that a neutral market had been found between $1800 and $1850 and was waiting to see a break of resistance or support. It leaned bullish with indicators showing the down move had run its course but it also highlighted the risk that a drop below $1800 and $1750 brings $1680 […]

Comex Update: Gold Sees Massive Delivery Volume Mid-Month

Gold started July delivery activity as the weakest minor month since 2019. This showed a general lack of interest in the market. Considering the activity since then, it’s possible this was a signal of capitulation. Since the start of the delivery month, activity in the July gold contract has exploded.

Words Matter! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 22, 2022

We’ve heard all kinds of excuses for inflation. It was COVID. It was Putin’s price hikes. It’s greedy corporations. This week, we learned it’s the millennials’ fault. As host Mike Maharrey explains in this week’s Friday Gold Wrap, all of these notions miss the mark. And they let the real culprit get off scot-free. How? […]

Now in Effect: Virginia Law Expands and Extends Sales Tax Exemption on Gold and Silver

On July 1, a Virginia law extending and expanding a sales tax exemption on the sale of gold and silver bullion and coins went into effect. Ending the sales tax will relieve some of the tax burdens on investors, and take a step toward treating precious metal bullions as money instead of a commodity.

Comex Inventory: Why is Registered Collapsing During Backwardation?

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.

Ukraine Sells Billions in Gold to Raise Cash to Buy Goods

Who needs gold? Ukraine, apparently. An official at the central bank claims it has sold billions in gold since the Russians invaded Ukraine back in February.

The Fed’s Sophie’s Choice: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 15, 2020

It happened again. The CPI data for June came in hotter than expected. Prices rose at the fastest pace in this inflationary cycle. That pushes the Fed ever closer to having to make a very difficult choice. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the most recent CPI data […]

Treasury Fails to Capitalize on Record Tax Revenues

The Federal Government ran an $89B deficit in June. This was an increase MoM but below the June deficit last year of $174B.

June YoY CPI Was Horrific – The Next Three Months Could Be Worse

The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for June came in at a blistering 1.35% MoM and 9.11% YoY, beating expectations of 1.1% and 8.8% respectively. All prices rose in May with 8 of 11 categories rising faster than the 12-month trend, representing 94.7% of the total CPI.

Treasury Interest Cost Will Soar Past $500B in the Months Ahead

The US government increased its total debt by $69 billion in June. The average interest rate on all of that debt is also going up, a growing problem for the borrow and spend government. The Treasury Department continues to roll short-term Treasury Bills into longer-dated securities, allowing $148B in Bills to roll off the debt […]