Peter's Blog

Federal Budget: Government Deficit Exceeds $1.6T in 2025

Federal Budget The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. The charts and tables below give an in-depth review of the Federal Budget, showing where the money is coming from, where it is going to, and the surplus or deficit. The government fiscal year closes at the end of September, […]

Two Truths and a Lie From Trump’s 2025 Macro Policy

Trump’s tariff regime has led to an extremely unique economic situation. While inflation for some goods is high, many other goods have little inflation, and new job creation is lagging. Any Keynesian economist could weasel their way around this, but it gives compelling evidence against the assumptions of their most revered models. The Phillips curve […]

Herbert Hoover: The Forgotten Architect of Economic Intervention

In the literature on the Great Depression, interventionists claim that it was President Herbert Hoover’s “free market” policies that contributed to and even caused the economic crash that characterized the 1930s. But, under even the least scrutiny, this pernicious myth falls apart completely. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions […]

The Myth of Aggregate Demand: What Really Causes Recessions

As warnings flash about the state of the economy, the Keynesians are out in full force to declare that falling aggregate demand is what causes recessions. The Austrian school can set the record straight. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Peter Schiff […]

We Still Haven’t Faced the Economic Madness of 2020

It has been more than 5 years since the federal government led a complete upheaval of American society in the name of public safety. Even after 5 years, America hasn’t fully realized the irreparable damage that the state did to social and economic life. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The […]

Why the CBO Can’t Warn About an Inflation-Driven Debt Crisis

Longtime followers of infeneo (and its associated InFi podcast) know that I am no friend of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). My chief complaint is that their ostensibly unorthodox ways of viewing government finance are incredibly misleading, at least in the hands of some of their most popular gurus. In today’s post I’ll give yet another example, this one coming from […]

How Inflation Nearly Undermined the American Revolution

Inflation isn’t a new problem. In fact, it has plagued this country since its founding. Even though the American Revolution– and its monetary soundness– are worth celebrating, its lesser-known history reveals how war and inflation go hand-in-hand.

Federal Budget: Government has its best quarter since 2022

The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. The charts and tables below give an in-depth review of the Federal Budget, showing where the money is coming from, where it is going to, and the surplus or deficit.

GDP’s Hidden Flaws: How Spending Metrics Distort Economic Reality

As warning signs of recession grow, the political class will increasingly point to misleading statistics as proof of their competency. The most popular economic aggregate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is worth nuancing.

Can Tariffs and DOGE Eliminate the Income Tax?

Freshly-confirmed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently appeared on CBS News, declaring that President Trump aims to eliminate income taxes for Americans earning less than $150,000 per year. Lutnick touted Trump’s vision for tariffs to replace the revenue lost from this massive tax cut.