Peter's Blog

Inflation isn’t a new problem. In fact, it has plagued this country since its founding. Even though the American Revolution– and its monetary soundness– are worth celebrating, its lesser-known history reveals how war and inflation go hand-in-hand.

The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. The charts and tables below give an in-depth review of the Federal Budget, showing where the money is coming from, where it is going to, and the surplus or deficit.

As warning signs of recession grow, the political class will increasingly point to misleading statistics as proof of their competency. The most popular economic aggregate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is worth nuancing.

Freshly-confirmed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently appeared on CBS News, declaring that President Trump aims to eliminate income taxes for Americans earning less than $150,000 per year. Lutnick touted Trump’s vision for tariffs to replace the revenue lost from this massive tax cut.

Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) continues to make headlines, with the bureaucratic class panicking over its possible demise at Musk’s hand. DOGE’s goals are laudable, but the department should prioritize eliminating wasteful services completely, not replacing them with pseudo-private actors.

In his latest podcast from Wednesday night, Peter addresses the renewed buzz surrounding Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Peter argues that no matter how many cuts are made, the government’s nature ensures that fraud and abuse will persist. Without market forces exerting pressure on bureaucrats, the state has to reason to spend and […]

Trump‘s border policy was one of the most controversial issues that made him the center of national attention during the news cycle leading up to the 2016 election. His radical and unashamed defense of the American border was shocking to many Republicans and Democrats alike. He seemed to have stepped away from the American ideal […]

On Friday, Peter joined Artur Kalbarczyk for a wide-ranging conversation about the Federal Reserve’s next moves, the “time bomb” of U.S. government debt, and why he believes inflation will keep surging in 2025. Despite market expectations that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting, Peter sees plenty of monetary danger on the […]

Conventional wisdom says that the government can help (or is even required to) stimulate the economy, especially during a recession. As mounting evidence grows for a recession happening right now, it’s worth examining how this conventional wisdom is completely wrong and backwards. The government is typically the primary cause of recessions.

Last week, Peter joined Kai from the Soar Financially YouTube channel for an interview on the state of the economy, Federal Reserve policy, and the interplay between domestic politics, gold, and inflation. This interview is a great recap of the most important events of 2024, and Peter offers his perspective on what 2025 will hold […]