Peter's Blog

Why Silver is Outperforming Gold (Again)

Silver’s impressive gains have left it, yet again, outpacing gold by around 50% year-to-date. This is a common pattern for the metal, which has historically tended to outperform gold during certain stages of bull markets.  Just as silver has done before, it’s capitalizing on the same macroeconomic conditions that have been a boon for gold, […]

ADP Numbers: Private Sector Dumps Over 30K Jobs

U.S. private-sector hiring slipped into negative territory last month, according to the November ADP National Employment Report released December 3rd. Payrolls fell by 32,000 positions—an abrupt reversal that economists say underscores gathering economic headwinds and a wary consumer. Small businesses were the hardest hit, shedding 120,000 jobs, while the spot price of gold briefly punched […]

What Will Black Friday 2025 Tell Us About American Consumers?

Black Friday, the ultimate consumer holiday, has lost some of its luster in recent years as Americans become increasingly indebted, cash-strapped, and hamstrung by high inflation. Known as an all-out buying bonanza where shoppers flood retailers for deals on everything from TVs and toys to kitchen utensils, this year all signs point to a muted […]

Fed Ends QT with a Balance Sheet 75% Higher than Pre-Covid

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet The Fed has decided to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st. In late 2019, the Fed balance […]

Peter Schiff: Fed Cuts Signal a Weak Economy

On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter contends that the recent market bounce is being driven less by real economic strength and more by Fed signaling that rate cuts are coming. He walks through how central bank rhetoric, rising yields abroad, and domestic affordability pressures paint a picture of an economy strained by […]

Schiff on Reinvent Money: Bitcoin Crash May Hurt Trump

Peter recently joined the Reinvent Money Youtube channel to lay out a clear contrast: real assets backed by history versus speculative claims backed mainly by collective faith. He walks through his outlook for gold and the miners, explains why he challenged MicroStrategy’s CEO to a debate, and pushes back on crypto maximalism with tokenized gold. […]

13 Week Money Supply Growth Stabilizes at 5%

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

The Battle Over Gold: Central Bankers Split on What It Means

Gold has had a record-breaking year, and its surging price is an indictment of the current monetary landscape in America. The public is waking up to this fact, and it continues to reveal disagreements in how central bankers think about gold. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do […]

Fed Governor Williams: “We’ll Have Inflation Under Control in 2027”

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams flew to Santiago this week to deliver a talk—fittingly titled “Navigating Unpredictable Terrain”—at the Central Bank of Chile’s centennial bash. While gold bulls were busy bidding the metal to a fresh high of $4,098 per ounce on Friday, Williams told the audience he still sees U.S. […]

Schiff on VRIC Media: Expect QE, Higher Long-Term Rates

Peter recently joined Darrell from VRIC Media to discuss a brewing contradiction in monetary policy, the political risks to Fed independence, the nonsense of tariff “dividends,” and why gold remains the only reliable monetary asset. He warns that even if the Federal Reserve cuts short-term rates, a return to quantitative easing and rising long-term rates […]