Peter's Blog

Peter Schiff: Wishful Thinking Won’t Save This Market

In Sunday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter tackles the disconnect between Wall Street optimism and economic reality. He walks through the dangerous complacency around rising bond yields, warns of a historic breakdown in market breadth, and reiterates his long-standing case for gold as the ultimate safe haven. He also touches on the psychology […]

Schiff on World Affairs in Context: America’s Debt Bomb is Ticking

Last week, Peter joined host Lena Petrova on World Affairs in Context to walk through the mounting dangers facing the US economy. He lays out how the national debt, the Federal Reserve’s inflationary tools, and shortsighted political decisions are converging to set up a crisis far worse than anything Americans have experienced in modern times. […]

Schiff on Metals and Miners: The Fed Can’t Fix the Yield Problem

Last week, Peter joined Gary on the Metals and Miners podcast to explain why confidence in the US Treasury market is eroding and why the Federal Reserve’s response will only make matters worse. He walks through the mechanics of Fed intervention, the coming pressure on the dollar, and why gold remains the standout asset in […]

Philadelphia Fed’s Paulson Admits Sixth Straight Miss on Inflation Target

Anna Paulson, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, delivered opening remarks at the 10th Annual Fintech Conference in Philadelphia on September 24th, noting explicitly that her views are her own, “not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve System or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).” Paulson said she supported the FOMC’s […]

Peter Schiff: Politics is Trumping Sound Policy

In this episode, Peter works through the latest news cycle, each part of which points to government malfeasance and political expedience overriding sound principles. He covers the latest Federal Reserve vote, the ballooning cost of servicing the national debt, inflation’s squeeze on ordinary consumers, the misuse of the strategic petroleum reserve, a troubling crackdown on […]

Price Inflation Has Been above the Two-Percent Target for 65 Months in a Row

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, PCE, has now come in above its 2 percent target for 65 consecutive months, with core PCE running at 3.3 percent year over year in July and CPI up 3.4 percent through August. The dollar has lost 28 percent of its purchasing power since January 2020, and with wages falling […]

Why the Economy Is Splitting in Two

Commentators have labeled the divide between soaring asset prices and stagnant wages the “K-shaped economy,” but slapping a name on the pattern is not the same as explaining it. The real driver is the Cantillon effect: new money enters the economy through the banking system first, inflating the assets held disproportionately by the wealthy while […]

Richmond Fed’s Barkin Concedes Five Years of Inflation Failure

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin delivered a speech titled “Why Hike?” to the CFA Society Baltimore on September 22nd, discussing the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) recent rate hike of 25 basis points. The move marked the Fed’s first rate increase since mid-2023 and its first policy action of any kind since […]

Money Supply Growth Continues at an Elevated Pace Despite Fed’s tough Talk

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

Chicago Fed President Says Some Inflation Shocks Can No Longer Be Ignored

Austan Goolsbee, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, delivered remarks on September 21st at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum in London that challenged one of the central tenets of modern monetary policy. Goolsbee argued that the post-1970s doctrine of “looking through” supply-driven price shocks needs revision, stating plainly that […]