Peter's Blog

The Fed Continues With QT, and Winds Down Emergency Measures

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

Has Slowing Money Supply Growth Led to a Directionless Stock Market?

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Purchasing Power and Global Demand for the U.S. Dollar

With trade wars popping in and out of headlines during the Trump presidency, there are no guarantees when it comes to foreign exchange. As tariffs, bailouts, and central banks all affect exchange rates, it’s worth revisiting what causes the international economy to demand the almighty US dollar.

The Fed Can No Longer Ignore Stubborn Inflation

Last week’s inflation data confirms what many economists have been saying for months: the Fed’s inflation target is not achievable anytime soon. In fact, many economic signals suggest the opposite: inflation is here to stay, and even the Fed realizes it.

Jerome Powell Rejects CBDC, Has No Plans for Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made a definitive statement during Tuesday’s Senate hearing, affirming that as long as he remains at the helm, the Fed will not develop its own digital currency. During his semiannual testimony on monetary policy and regulation, Powell was asked by Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) if he would commit to forgoing […]

Treasury Adds $2.2T of debt in 2024

The Government debt binge has slowed in the latest month, adding only $2B in new debt for January.

Rising Long-Term Interest Rates: The Hidden Impact of High Time Preference

In the wake of last week’s FOMC meeting, it’s worth revisiting the economic function of interest rates, which guide economic activity in accordance with societal time preference. In order to suppress the natural rate of interest, central banks must resort to inflation.

Peter Schiff: The Fed is Ignoring Key Data

Shortly after yesterday’s FOMC announcement, Peter went live to unpack its aftermath. He criticizes the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady, offers insight into Jerome Powell’s press conference remarks, and skewers the notion that the Fed remains “apolitical.” Peter also addresses President Trump’s evolving commentary on oil prices and interest rate cuts as 2025’s […]

Money Supply Grew by 4% in 2024

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Gold Gets Boost From Dollar Instability, Faltering Bond Prices

In recent months, the financial landscape has witnessed a notable shift in the relationship between bond yields and gold prices. As bond yields falter and economic uncertainties loom, gold is once again emerging as an asset of stability for investors seeking refuge from market volatility. This resurgence of interest in gold reflects a broader trend […]