Peter’s Blog

In Wednesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter unpacks the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to hold rates steady, dissecting Jerome Powell’s latest press conference for its contradictions and disconnect from the economic realities faced by Americans. He also critiques ongoing trade policy blunders and warns that political posturing could lead the U.S. into a […]

The Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it would maintain the federal funds rate at its current target range of 4.25% to 4.5%, despite mounting concerns over inflation and economic uncertainty. In its latest monetary policy statement, the Fed said that economic activity continues to expand solidly, but simultaneously cautioned that inflation remains elevated. With the […]

Although Jerome Powell appears temporarily safe from President Trump’s ire, it’s only a matter of time before the pressure to cut rates will ratchet up on the Fed. Indeed, Trump– like all other politicians– wants low interest rates to facilitate ever-increasing deficits and obscure the faultlines in the economy.

U.S. consumer confidence suffered a sharp blow yesterday, plummeting 7.2 points to 92.9, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Alarmingly, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ short-term outlook on the economy, tumbled to 65.2—its lowest level in 12 years—breaking well below the critical 80-point threshold that traditionally signals an […]

In a widely anticipated move, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at around 4.3% on Wednesday but signaled potential rate cuts later this year, highlighting policymakers’ growing concerns over slowing economic growth and persistent inflation pressures. Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that external economists have revised upward their estimates of a recession […]

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

With trade wars popping in and out of headlines during the Trump presidency, there are no guarantees when it comes to foreign exchange. As tariffs, bailouts, and central banks all affect exchange rates, it’s worth revisiting what causes the international economy to demand the almighty US dollar.

Last week’s inflation data confirms what many economists have been saying for months: the Fed’s inflation target is not achievable anytime soon. In fact, many economic signals suggest the opposite: inflation is here to stay, and even the Fed realizes it.