Peter's Blog

The Fed Drops QT to $5B a Month – Ensuring the Balance Sheet Will Stay Bloated

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

What Really Solves America’s Debt Woes—And Why Rate Caps Aren’t It

Free-marketers rightly criticize the Fed for manipulating interest rates, which serve as important price signals to entrepreneurs. Many stumble, however, in applying this same criticism to other forms of price controls, such as interest rate caps, which have been revived earlier this year.

The Fed Holds Rates at 4.5% Amid Rising Risks of Stagflation

As of last week, the Federal Reserve has basically admitted it doesn’t know what’s happening in the economy. One thing’s for sure: inflation is still a problem.

Peter Schiff: The Fed Admits It Doesn’t Know Anything

In Wednesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter unpacks the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to hold rates steady, dissecting Jerome Powell’s latest press conference for its contradictions and disconnect from the economic realities faced by Americans. He also critiques ongoing trade policy blunders and warns that political posturing could lead the U.S. into a […]

Fed Holds Rates, Acknowledges Economic Uncertainty

The Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it would maintain the federal funds rate at its current target range of 4.25% to 4.5%, despite mounting concerns over inflation and economic uncertainty. In its latest monetary policy statement, the Fed said that economic activity continues to expand solidly, but simultaneously cautioned that inflation remains elevated. With the […]

Trump’s Easy-Money Agenda: Empowering Wall Street, Undermining Main Street

Although Jerome Powell appears temporarily safe from President Trump’s ire, it’s only a matter of time before the pressure to cut rates will ratchet up on the Fed. Indeed, Trump– like all other politicians– wants low interest rates to facilitate ever-increasing deficits and obscure the faultlines in the economy.

Consumer Confidence Plunges as Recession Signs Multiply

U.S. consumer confidence suffered a sharp blow yesterday, plummeting 7.2 points to 92.9, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Alarmingly, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ short-term outlook on the economy, tumbled to 65.2—its lowest level in 12 years—breaking well below the critical 80-point threshold that traditionally signals an […]

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Signals Cuts Amid Rising Inflation 

In a widely anticipated move, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at around 4.3% on Wednesday but signaled potential rate cuts later this year, highlighting policymakers’ growing concerns over slowing economic growth and persistent inflation pressures. Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that external economists have revised upward their estimates of a recession […]

Bessent is Right: The Economy Needs a Detox

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.

The Fed Continues With QT, and Winds Down Emergency Measures

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.