Peter's Blog

A Horrendous Job Report Looks Even Worse Under the Surface

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Rate Cut Crisis Barely Dodged With New Jobs Numbers

Just a few days ago, it seemed that the US was on the verge of a recession. While the long-term trajectory is still one that is far too tenuous to rely on, the recent jobs report seems to suggest that the US is not headed for immediate recession. Although the status of the US in […]

Only 181k Total Jobs Gained for all of 2025 after Massive Revisions Lower

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Jobs: Every Jobs Report in 2025 has Been Revised Lower

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Jobs: The Economy Only Added 28k jobs from Jan-Jun

Note: This includes the Jobs report for November that was released on December 16th and the QCEW Report released on Dec 19th The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]

Jobs: Every Month in 2025 has Been Revised Down with Two Turning Negative

Note: This is the Jobs report for September that was released late on November 20th. There will be no October jobs report The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]

Peter Schiff: Shutdown Hides Jobs Losses

On Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter dissects a strange Friday in which the headline non-farm payrolls report never arrived because of the government shutdown. He links the missing data to an alarming private-payroll print, explains why the stock market is celebrating weakness for the wrong reasons, and reminds listeners that gold — […]

Payrolls Shrink, Gold Brushes $3,900 Amid Labor Squeeze

U.S. private employers unexpectedly cut 32,000 jobs in September, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report released Tuesday, marking the first aggregate decline since early 2024. Goods makers shed 3,000 positions and service industries bled another 28,000, with layoffs concentrated in leisure and hospitality (-19,000) and professional and business services (-13,000). The dismal headline […]

June Job Loss Signals Trouble Ahead

With another round of jobs data released last week, another revision to June’s numbers reveal two startling truths. First, jobs actually decreased in June, contrary to the initial estimates. Second, and arguably worse, the Trump administration’s cover-up of these numbers is as bad as critics thought. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

Jobs Mirage: BLS Slashes 911,000 Positions from the Economy

The Bureau of Labor Statistics dropped a quiet bombshell on September 9, unveiling a preliminary benchmark revision that erased 911,000 jobs from March 2025 payroll tallies. The 0.6% markdown is roughly triple the average adjustment of the past decade and instantly casts doubt on months of breezy “resilient labor market” headlines. Almost the entire shortfall […]