Peter's Blog

Fed People Saying Stuff: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 7, 2023

Despite doing nothing at the June meeting, Federal Reserve officials continue to talk tough about fighting inflation. The anticipation of another rate hike created headwinds for both stocks and gold this week. But Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey thinks something is amiss. In this episode, he talks about the disconnect between the central bankers’ […]

Things Happen Slowly and Then All at Once: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Podcast June 30, 2023

There was a lot of economic data this month that seems to signal a strong economy. Does it though? Is everything really fine? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey digs deeper into the data and reveals a less sanguine reality. He also explains the inner workings of the spot price […]

Economic Data Isn’t as Strong as the Headlines Claim

A lot of the economic data this month looks strong. But when you dig a little deeper, you find that this “strength” is an illusion. Following is a breakdown of several of these data points with some help from our friends at Passant Gardant.

Government Job Numbers Make No Sense

Every month, we get government job reports that tell us the labor market is booming. Then we get an avalanche of mainstream headlines telling us that this is a sign the economy is just fine. But these government job numbers simply don’t make sense.

Jobs: The Household Survey Tells a Different Story

The BLS reported that a whopping 339,000 jobs were added in May. This crushed median estimates of 190,000 jobs added. The Household Survey tells a very different story though, reporting a loss of 310,000 jobs.

Peter Schiff: We Can’t Afford to Let Biden “Finish the Job”

President Biden has announced he will run for a second term in 2024. Peter Schiff recently appeared on the Ingraham Angle on Fox News to talk about what will happen if we keep going down the Biden road. In a nutshell, Peter said we can’t afford to let Biden “finish the job.”

Peter Schiff: We’d Be Lucky to Escape With Just a Recession

Peter Schiff recently appeared on Real America with Dan Ball to talk about the weakening US dollar, the less-than-stellar jobs report, and the trajectory of the economy. Peter kicked off the interview with a startling statement when Dan said whether it’s oil, de-dollarization, or President Biden’s horrible economic policies, everything is pointing toward a recession […]

Peter Schiff: Traders Still Getting Jobs and Inflation Wrong

The dollar rallied and gold sold off on Monday after the March labor report came in at expectations and comments by the new Bank of Japan governor indicated he plans to continue the country’s ultra-loose monetary policy. In his podcast, Peter explains how traders continued to get both jobs and inflation wrong.

Jobs Report: 7 of 8 Categories Below 12-month Trend

The BLS reported that 236k jobs were added in March. Similar to December and January, the Household survey greatly exceeded the Headline Report with 577k jobs added. The Household Survey was surprisingly strong given the current economic environment.

Household Survey is 40% Below Headline Number

As discussed last month, it is getting harder to take all the BLS employment data as fact. This month, some of the data is a bit closer in line, but the QECW report seemed to show a big deviation (more below).